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Top stories

Cool-Down Spreads Across U.S. and Europe as Phoenix Sets Heat Record

Cool-Down Spreads Across U.S. and Europe as Phoenix Sets Heat Record

Authors

16

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Channel

When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?

Mar 7, 1:54 PMMar 14, 10:59 PM

315452

OptionProbability

Before 2027-04-01

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-10-01

Before 2026-07-01

Q1 2024

Q2 2024 or earlier

Q3 2024 or earlier

Q4 2024 or earlier

Q1 2025 or earlier

Q2 2025 or earlier

Q3 2025 or earlier

Q4 2025 or earlier

Before 2026-04-01

52

48

41

17

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Grok uses Telegram channels as one of content sources by mid-2026?

May 31, 10:10 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

17.92%chance

162644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2151

470

Will Mr Beast’s Youtube channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel at the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 2:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.21%chance

201489

OptionVotes

NO

YES

779

71

Subscribers for turning point USA YouTube channel over 6.5 million next year?

Oct 15, 3:12 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

99%chance

81265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

10

Will there be an AI "Let's Play" channel by 2030?

Jun 11, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.65%chance

211257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1541

925

By 2030, will AI tech be powerful enough to automate a YouTube channel?

Mar 25, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.34%chance

191242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1371

942

Will the LoFi girl Youtube channel still be live at the end of 2036?

Mar 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.7%chance

21625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

946

Will there be a YouTube channel with 1 billion subscribers by 2040?

Dec 16, 1:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.5%chance

18587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1058

915

Will "Fail safe(r) at alignment by channeling rewar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

May 24, 4:22 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.22%chance

2510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

936

If I post Kanye West's 'Heil Hitler' song in my company's #music channel, will I still work there 6 months later?

May 8, 4:48 PMNov 8, 4:48 PM

40.98%chance

16299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Roblox will be a frequent communication channel for my [David Baszucki] family

Sep 10, 2:56 PMSep 9, 2:55 PM

18.73%chance

5295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

232

46

Will the Channel 5 / Andrew Callaghan Movie be Rotten on RottenTomatoes a month after release?

May 7, 6:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.02%chance

543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Europe
Climate
Environment
Cool-Down Spreads Across U.S. and Europe as Phoenix Sets Heat Record
Authors
16
10 months ago

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