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Prediction markets for Channel
When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?
Mar 7, 1:54 PMMar 14, 10:59 PM
325629
OptionProbability
49
40
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
▶️Which Youtube channels will still be actively uploading at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 7, 5:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
342971
OptionProbability
94
93
92
89
87
86
84
82
80
80
80
79
77
76
75
73
72
71
67
67
63
62
59
58
57
52
52
52
51
51
51
51
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
43
38
35
▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in November 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Oct 1, 1:52 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
141374
OptionProbability
100
100
99
87
87
86
83
83
83
81
67
66
52
50
50
34
23
23
22
16
14
12
5
OptionVotes
1541
925
By 2030, will AI tech be powerful enough to automate a YouTube channel?
Mar 25, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93.34%chance
191242
OptionVotes
1371
942
Will the LoFi girl Youtube channel still be live at the end of 2036?
Mar 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.7%chance
21625
OptionVotes
1064
946
Will there be a YouTube channel with 1 billion subscribers by 2040?
Dec 16, 1:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.55%chance
18588
OptionVotes
1056
916
Will "Fail safe(r) at alignment by channeling rewar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
May 24, 4:22 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
9.22%chance
2510
OptionVotes
1500
936
Will MrBeast be dethroned as YouTube's most-subscribed channel before 2030?
Nov 3, 1:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
65.91%chance
14424
OptionVotes
139
72
OptionProbability
67
19
10
2
2
Which of these UK TV channels will broadcast traditional free-to-air content on 1st February 2035?
Aug 9, 12:53 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM
5223
OptionProbability
94
61
56
35
7
Will the Channel 5 / Andrew Callaghan Movie be Rotten on RottenTomatoes a month after release?
May 7, 6:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
35.02%chance
543
OptionVotes
136
73
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