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Prediction markets for Congo
OptionProbability
19
19
10
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Who or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
83
73
70
69
69
68
61
59
58
55
55
54
54
51
50
49
48
46
44
43
39
37
36
35
34
34
34
33
31
28
25
25
23
23
21
21
21
20
19
18
18
17
16
15
12
12
12
12
11
9
9
8
8
7
6
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
97
96
96
96
95
94
91
90
90
89
87
86
86
85
85
85
84
83
82
80
80
80
78
76
75
72
71
70
66
66
60
60
60
59
58
55
54
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
46
46
45
45
45
44
42
42
39
38
38
38
37
36
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
31
30
30
30
30
28
28
28
28
27
25
24
23
23
23
22
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
9
8
8
7
5
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
OptionProbability
95
79
77
77
72
69
65
64
63
62
59
58
56
51
50
50
49
48
44
42
38
37
36
36
34
33
33
31
29
28
28
26
24
23
23
22
20
20
20
20
17
17
12
11
10
10
10
8
8
8
7
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Which country outside Europe and South America will be the first to win the men’s FIFA World Cup?
OptionProbability
14
11
10
9
8
7
5
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
13
11
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
OptionProbability
100
67
59
55
54
51
43
41
41
41
23
23
Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?
OptionVotes
360
28
OptionProbability
15
11
8
6
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will the Democratic Republic of the Congo break ground on the Grand Inga Dam project by the end of 2027?
OptionVotes
202
49
In which countries will the Against Malaria Foundation fund distributions in 2028?
OptionProbability
72
69
61
39
39
39
36
34
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
13
