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Prediction markets for Crimea
Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?
Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
11.58%chance
12822520
OptionVotes
2741
267
By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?
Mar 1, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.1%chance
9521846
OptionVotes
2116
696
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
Feb 16, 4:58 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
5.35%chance
8910701
OptionVotes
2217
35
By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Sep 13, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.94%chance
467294
OptionVotes
962
495
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
Jun 9, 5:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
15%chance
446918
OptionVotes
762
94
Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM
52.09%chance
835834
OptionVotes
1087
913
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 5:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.63%chance
195557
OptionVotes
2757
363
OptionVotes
1977
750
Conditinal on Crimea being taken by Ukranian army, will Russia avoid using nuclear weapons?
Dec 21, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
86.94%chance
502984
OptionVotes
1114
958
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
Jun 17, 2:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.61%chance
191718
OptionVotes
1840
854
Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?
May 12, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
75.99%chance
231226
OptionVotes
1088
953
Will Putin remain in power if Crimea returns to Ukraine?
Oct 2, 8:21 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
26.35%chance
16482
OptionVotes
1143
933