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Top stories

Trump Says Obama 'Gave Away' Crimea in 2014 Fox Interview

US Foreign Policy

Trump Says Obama 'Gave Away' Crimea in 2014 Fox Interview

Authors

13

1 year ago

Rubio Says Ukraine Peace Deal Won’t Cede All Occupied Territory to Russia

US Foreign Policy

Rubio Says Ukraine Peace Deal Won’t Cede All Occupied Territory to Russia

Authors

4

1 year ago

US Scrambles Jets for 4th Russian Plane Near Alaska; Moscow Intercepts P-8 in Black Sea

US Foreign Policy

US Scrambles Jets for 4th Russian Plane Near Alaska; Moscow Intercepts P-8 in Black Sea

Authors

11

1 year ago

Ukraine, Allies Start Shaping Military Security Guarantees, Yermak Says

Authors

6

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Reposts Call for Ukraine to Cede Territory to Russia

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Crimea

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.58%chance

12822520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2741

267

By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?

Mar 1, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.45%chance

9721947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2203

683

Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?

Feb 16, 4:58 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

5.35%chance

8910701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2217

35

By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?

Sep 13, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

477360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

940

550

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

Jun 9, 5:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

15%chance

446918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

762

94

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

Oct 8, 2:10 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

52.09%chance

835834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

913

Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.63%chance

195557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2757

363

Will Putin die before Russia pulls out of Crimea?

Jun 13, 9:43 PMMay 4, 5:59 PM

89.91%chance

413197

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1977

750

Conditinal on Crimea being taken by Ukranian army, will Russia avoid using nuclear weapons?

Dec 21, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.41%chance

512998

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

965

Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?

Jun 17, 2:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.61%chance

191718

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1840

854

Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before Russia recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine?

May 12, 10:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.99%chance

231226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

953

Will Putin remain in power if Crimea returns to Ukraine?

Oct 2, 8:21 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

26.35%chance

16482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

933

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