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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Protest Erupts in Washington as Trump Tours District With Police

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for DC

Will there be a Marvel and DC Comics crossover movie released by the end of 2028?

May 8, 11:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.51%chance

134782

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5553

250

This market resolves to the majority once a portion of its graph traces out a silhouette of the DC skyline.

May 28, 12:22 AMJun 28, 10:59 PM

50.72%chance

111296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

201

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.29%chance

231058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

864

During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?

Nov 9, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.58%chance

12851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

743

Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032

May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

7.78%chance

10652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1602

997

Will the 51st state be Washington DC?

May 3, 6:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

22343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

962

Will Daylight Computers Release a second generation of the DC-1 tablet before 2028?

May 24, 6:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

63.38%chance

7321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1316

760

Will Washington DC Become a state before Puerto Rico?

Apr 1, 3:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.67%chance

14259

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

978

Will "Trump Use The Constitution to Drain DC"?

Aug 9, 3:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.97%chance

9257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

375

156

Will "Washington DC" "Tax 2A to DEATH!" (for example by introducing a "1000% Tax on Guns!") before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.88%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

128

DC stocks (permanent)

May 16, 7:21 PMMay 16, 9:59 PM

14

OptionProbability

NO

YES

50

50

Will "One Year in DC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 21, 11:16 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Washington DC
Politics
Protest Erupts in Washington as Trump Tours District With Police
Authors
4
1 year ago

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