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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Protest Erupts in Washington as Trump Tours District With Police

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for DC

Will there be a Marvel and DC Comics crossover movie released by the end of 2028?

May 8, 11:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.54%chance

134807

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5528

251

Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?

Sep 23, 1:12 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

264727

OptionProbability

There is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026

New York

Boston

Montreal

Prospera

Other

Surprise! Washington, DC again!

Texas (any major city)

San Francisco Bay Area (excluding Lighthaven)

London

Paris

Berlin

64

13

4

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?

Nov 9, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.35%chance

142301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2794

358

If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?

Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.68%chance

241221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

788

Will the next new USA state be one other than puerto rico or washington dc?

Feb 19, 3:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.47%chance

16735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

370

Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032

May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

7.78%chance

10652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1602

997

Will the 51st state be Washington DC?

May 3, 6:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

22343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

962

Will Daylight Computers Release a second generation of the DC-1 tablet before 2028?

May 24, 6:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

63.38%chance

7321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1316

760

Do the Walk for Peace Monks arrive in Washington DC and appear in photos with Trump?

Jan 3, 8:58 PMDec 31, 8:57 PM

15.59%chance

7269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

Will Washington DC Become a state before Puerto Rico?

Apr 1, 3:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.67%chance

14259

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

978

Will "Trump Use The Constitution to Drain DC"?

Aug 9, 3:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.97%chance

9257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

375

156

Will "One Year in DC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 21, 11:16 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Washington DC
Politics
Protest Erupts in Washington as Trump Tours District With Police
Authors
4
1 year ago

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