Democratic News
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Prediction markets for Democratic
OptionProbability
23
15
14
9
9
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
26
22
14
8
8
7
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
Jan 15, 10:24 PMDec 22, 4:59 AM
22.33%chance
6625055
OptionVotes
998
948
OptionVotes
1130
885
Will the Democratic Party Nominee for 2028 be a woman?
Dec 29, 11:52 AMNov 1, 11:59 PM
25.15%chance
6612747
OptionVotes
1385
819
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM
20.23%chance
5812103
OptionVotes
1986
504
OptionProbability
66
9
7
6
6
5
1
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM
6.31%chance
906445
OptionVotes
1978
1525
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
62.74%chance
255253
OptionVotes
13408
7244
If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Mar 17, 1:16 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM
251447
OptionProbability
63
59
59
59
58
58
58
57
55
50
50
50
40
Will the Democrats nominate a presidential candidate with a 50% or greater unfavorable rating on October 31, 2028?
May 1, 7:16 PMMay 9, 3:59 AM
40.98%chance
4163
OptionVotes
120
83
OptionProbability
50
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