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Prediction markets for Eiffel Tower
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
7.67%chance
836529327
OptionVotes
69114
9469
Will the Eiffel Tower still be standing on June 30th, 2036?
Feb 7, 9:16 PMJun 30, 7:00 AM
95.64%chance
2918601
OptionVotes
1816
912
Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]
Apr 10, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
414185
OptionProbability
97
47
35
26
25
25
24
21
21
19
17
17
16
12
12
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
Which tall buildings will Tetra visit between September 2025 and December 2026?
Sep 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3380
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
42
34
2
Destruction of any of 14 famous world historical monuments through 2031
Aug 31, 5:18 PMJan 1, 6:07 PM
13.53%chance
10293
OptionVotes
354
189
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