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Prediction markets for Einstein
Where will the next generation EU gravitational wave telescope (Einstein telescope) be built?
Sep 21, 4:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1048474
OptionProbability
46
23
15
10
7
OptionVotes
1028
770
OptionProbability
91
87
68
59
59
58
54
47
47
47
43
41
41
36
34
34
34
34
34
31
22
18
16
13
13
13
12
9
8
7
5
2
What's the status of singularity in the correct theory of quantum gravity (if there is any)
Aug 6, 12:56 AMAug 7, 12:42 AM
71222
OptionProbability
39
34
34
34
30
26
19
13
OptionProbability
38
23
20
14
4
Will future language models converge on "what Einstein would have thought of Many-Worlds?" before 2036?
Dec 28, 9:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
46.06%chance
17535
OptionVotes
1052
943
Will there be a high budget movie about Albert Einstein before 2035?
Feb 4, 5:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
72.5%chance
11224
OptionVotes
162
62
What opinion will future language models converge to, on what Einstein would have thought of Many-Worlds?
Dec 26, 8:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
6219
OptionProbability
76
18
6
OptionProbability
33
25
25
17
OptionProbability
88
66
50
50
50
50
OptionProbability
111
90
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