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Prediction markets for Enceladus
Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?
Oct 15, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29%chance
493876
OptionVotes
1584
568
OptionProbability
58
18
8
6
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will a major space agency announce the discovery of extraterrestrial life on Europa or Enceladus before 2035
Jul 28, 9:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.83%chance
241272
OptionVotes
1080
965
If abiogenetically distinct alien life is discovered in the solar system before 2070, where will it be first discovered?
Dec 30, 8:52 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
171163
OptionProbability
31
20
14
9
7
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
Will we discover extraterrestrial life (past or present) anywhere in the solar system by EOY 2100?
Dec 1, 11:49 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
56.62%chance
151121
OptionVotes
114
88
OptionProbability
64
57
55
52
49
47
44
43
34
34
27
27
27
27
25
21
21
18
14
13
5
By the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Feb 5, 1:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33%chance
19854
OptionVotes
1100
633
Will Enceladus' hydrothermal vents be found to harbor life that is similar (i.e., ~ redox chemistry) to life on Earth's?
Aug 10, 2:42 AMOct 11, 6:30 PM
7713
OptionProbability
60
23
17
What will be the top Flagship recommendation of the next Planetary Decadal Survey?
Nov 20, 2:30 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
3200
OptionProbability
30
28
25
7
6
4
1
Which of the six mission themes will NASA's New Frontiers Five mission be selected from?
Apr 1, 6:31 AMSep 30, 3:59 PM
2147
OptionProbability
34
33
11
9
6
6
Which mission theme will NASA's New Frontiers Six mission be selected from?
Apr 1, 12:32 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
2138
OptionProbability
22
21
12
12
7
7
7
7
7
0
Which will be the first organisation to land a spacecraft on Enceladus
Oct 3, 2:55 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
3111
OptionProbability
59
17
12
5
4
4
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