Estonia News

UK and NATO Allies Commit to 5% GDP Defence Spending by 2035; Starmer Targets 4.1% by 2027 Amid £30 Billion Gap; Carney Addresses Trump’s 35% Tariff Threat

1 month ago

Canada

Economics

Business

Prime Minister Carney Pledges Canada to Meet NATO Five Percent GDP Defence Target by 2035 Amid $92B Deficit and $147B Borrowing

1 month ago

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?

Feb 26, 7:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.55%chance

5212976

OptionVotes

YES

1032

298

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Jan 21, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32%chance

568598

OptionVotes

YES

1125

574

What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 4?

Nov 15, 8:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

211909

OptionProbability

Lithuania

Estonia

Poland

Turkiye

---no Article 4 before 2030---

Greece

Finland

Ukraine

Other

Latvia

Bulgaria

Czech Republic

Romania

Slovakia

United States of America

Sweden

United Kingdom

Norway

Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:42 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

5.58%chance

121715

OptionVotes

YES

623

114

Will a tunnel between Finland and Estonia have started construction by 2035?

Jul 5, 9:25 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.08%chance

341582

OptionVotes

YES

1302

662

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2025?

May 5, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.77%chance

191344

OptionVotes

YES

593

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2026?

May 5, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.55%chance

161019

OptionVotes

YES

458

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2028?

May 5, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.31%chance

15580

OptionVotes

YES

245

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?

May 5, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

12518

OptionVotes

YES

300

How many seats will be won by EKRE (Conservative People's Party of Estonia) in the next Estonian parliamentary election?

Mar 31, 9:11 AMMar 8, 11:59 PM

5100

OptionProbability

More than 15

More than 18

More than 21

More than 24

Will Taiwan open a Representative Office in Estonia by the end of 2025?

Nov 6, 8:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

30.77%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

Will a new Taiwanese Representative Office in Estonia use the word 'Taiwan' in the name?

Nov 6, 8:54 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

42.21%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

Latest stories

Jun 26, 2025
Jun 26, 2025
Canada
Economics
Business
Prime Minister Carney Pledges Canada to Meet NATO Five Percent GDP Defence Target by 2035 Amid $92B Deficit and $147B Borrowing
Authors
7
1 month ago
Jun 25, 2025
Jun 25, 2025
Britain
Canada
Tariffs
UK and NATO Allies Commit to 5% GDP Defence Spending by 2035; Starmer Targets 4.1% by 2027 Amid £30 Billion Gap; Carney Addresses Trump’s 35% Tariff Threat
Authors
18
1 month ago

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Prediction markets for Estonia

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Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 4?

Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2026

Will a tunnel between Finland and Estonia have started construction by 2035?

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2025?

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2026?

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2028?

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?

How many seats will be won by EKRE (Conservative People's Party of Estonia) in the next Estonian parliamentary election?

Will Taiwan open a Representative Office in Estonia by the end of 2025?

Will a new Taiwanese Representative Office in Estonia use the word 'Taiwan' in the name?

Latest stories

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