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Prediction markets for Ethiopia
OptionVotes
1365
834
Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?
Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM
102684
OptionProbability
69
19
12
What will be the next capital city to be occupied by a foreign military?
Oct 8, 12:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
481550
OptionProbability
55
8
6
5
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before the video game Grand Theft Auto 6 is released?
Dec 28, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.64%chance
12454
OptionVotes
263
38
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026?
Jan 13, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.58%chance
13358
OptionVotes
252
40
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
17.73%chance
6338
OptionVotes
215
46
Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?
Apr 19, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.53%chance
799
OptionVotes
112
90
OptionVotes
113
89
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?
Mar 11, 11:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
250
OptionProbability
26
23
21
10
10
10
Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
Aug 3, 10:02 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
32.43%chance
542
OptionVotes
167
107
Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
58.35%chance
337
OptionVotes
128
95
Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
57.63%chance
230
OptionVotes
94
86



