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Top stories

President Ruto Signs County Public Finance Act 2023, Revenue Allocation Bill 2025 Allocating Ksh.415B and Grants Fiscal Autonomy

President Ruto Signs County Public Finance Act 2023, Revenue Allocation Bill 2025 Allocating Ksh.415B and Grants Fiscal Autonomy

Authors

3

7 months ago

3.18-Million-Year-Old Australopithecine Lucy, Discovered in Ethiopia, Exhibited in Europe at Prague National Museum Since August 2025

3.18-Million-Year-Old Australopithecine Lucy, Discovered in Ethiopia, Exhibited in Europe at Prague National Museum Since August 2025

Authors

12

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Donald Trump Claims Ending Up to 10 Wars, Cites Serbia-Kosovo, Egypt-Ethiopia, Tariffs, Iran Nuclear Role Amid Nobel Peace Prize Bid

Authors

13

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Ethiopia

Will Egypt go to war with Ethiopia by 2030?

Mar 24, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

323174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

834

Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?

Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM

92664

OptionProbability

Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.

Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight

It will be stalemate

71

16

13

Which country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?

Dec 26, 4:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

242662

OptionProbability

Other

Chile

Argentina

Ethiopia

Brazil

Venezuela

Barbados

Germany

France

Mexico

Costa Rica

Italy

Canada

25

19

19

16

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026?

Jan 13, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.64%chance

12308

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

49

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11%chance

2257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before the video game Grand Theft Auto 6 is released?

Dec 28, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.19%chance

8155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?

Dec 29, 5:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.8%chance

571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

93

Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?

Mar 11, 11:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

250

OptionProbability

Other

South Sudan

Eritrea

Djibouti

Somalia

Kenya

26

23

21

10

10

10

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 10:02 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

32.43%chance

542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

107

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

58.35%chance

337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

95

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.63%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

94

86

Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?

Mar 5, 1:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

214

OptionProbability

Ethiopia

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Uganda

Kenya

Central African Republic

Other

17

17

17

17

17

13

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