EU News

1 year ago

[ACX 2026] How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:55 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

1810828

OptionProbability

24 - 27

20 - 23

28 - 33

16 - 19

0 - 12

13 - 15

[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.01%chance

3010700

OptionVotes

YES

6298

4914

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.56%chance

298424

OptionVotes

YES

8332

4125

Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?

Jun 16, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14%chance

717573

OptionVotes

YES

2018

117

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.43%chance

193648

OptionVotes

YES

2117

1093

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

3409

1209

Will any new countries join the EU before 2030?

Dec 7, 10:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.05%chance

302911

OptionVotes

YES

1790

239

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.11%chance

112422

OptionVotes

YES

1824

548

Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 18, 2:57 PMJun 9, 9:59 PM

44.92%chance

71533

OptionVotes

YES

1584

1422

China's nominal GDP exceeds EU's in 2027?

Apr 20, 3:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.36%chance

12840

OptionVotes

YES

1013

987

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

YES

1021

930

New Switzerland-EU package deal ("bilaterals III") passes referendum?

Dec 14, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.87%chance

4175

OptionVotes

YES

1125

889

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[ACX 2026] How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Will any new countries join the EU before 2030?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

China's nominal GDP exceeds EU's in 2027?

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

New Switzerland-EU package deal ("bilaterals III") passes referendum?

Latest stories

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