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Top stories

Swiss High Court Upholds Tariq Ramadan Rape Conviction

Swiss High Court Upholds Tariq Ramadan Rape Conviction

Authors

14

10 months ago

Hungary Offers to Host Putin-Zelensky Peace Summit Amid Venue Dispute

Hungary Offers to Host Putin-Zelensky Peace Summit Amid Venue Dispute

Authors

10

10 months ago

UN Says Iran Has Executed 841 People in 2025, Urges Moratorium

UN Says Iran Has Executed 841 People in 2025, Urges Moratorium

Authors

13

10 months ago

China Challenges Canada’s Steel and Aluminum Duties at WTO

Authors

5

10 months ago

Lagarde Says Euro-Area Growth Cools as US-EU Tariffs Take Hold

Authors

11

10 months ago

Switzerland Offers Putin Immunity for Geneva Ukraine Peace Talks

Authors

38

10 months ago

Germany’s Merz Says Putin, Zelensky to Hold Summit Within Two Weeks

Authors

16

10 months ago

UN Plastic Pollution Treaty Talks End After Eleven Days, 184 Countries Deadlocked Over Production Limits in Sixth Round

Authors

19

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Geneva

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.46%chance

7512546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1549

647

Donald Trump utilisera-t-il la bombe nucléaire contre l' Iran pour gagner la guerre ?

Apr 1, 11:36 AMApr 1, 11:35 AM

5.53%chance

61098

OptionVotes

YES

NO

413

24

Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?

Dec 10, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.58%chance

6672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

911

Will the war in Ukraine end by the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 9:35 PMDec 30, 11:00 PM

12497

OptionProbability

No

Yes

Yes, but Crimea,Donetsk,Luhansk etc. will be under Russia control.

Yes, all territories that Ukraine had before 2014 will be Ukraine again.

66

24

9

1

Will the US reintroduce naval blockade before July?

Jun 15, 11:07 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

5.96%chance

7373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

397

25

Will the International Court of Justice rule in favor of Guyana in their case against Venezuela?

Dec 6, 2:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

90.49%chance

6265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

287

57

Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?

Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33%chance

9195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

205

US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?

May 18, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.88%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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