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Prediction markets for Global South
U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.16%chance
4344500
OptionVotes
128439
102675
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.61%chance
235041
OptionVotes
5459
2563
Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?
Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.22%chance
124755
OptionVotes
1357
738
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.68%chance
133709
OptionVotes
6632
3220
Will South Africa's PGM output decline exceed 5% YoY in 2025?
Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM
5.24%chance
43622
OptionVotes
4454
369
Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?
Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.41%chance
71886
OptionVotes
2656
376
OptionVotes
1100
977
Will the Church of England take an affirming stance on gay marriage by 2030?
Apr 4, 12:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
62.87%chance
16250
OptionVotes
1166
885
OptionVotes
102
99
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
19.77%chance
245
OptionVotes
105
75
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 30 kt
Mar 30, 9:42 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
91.31%chance
441
OptionVotes
101
92
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 50 kt?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
82.52%chance
125
OptionVotes
125
94