India is pursuing a nuanced strategy to enhance economic and strategic ties with China while maintaining cautious safeguards amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Despite years of friction and a cautious approach that includes banning certain Chinese apps and regulating key sectors, India recognizes the importance of Chinese technical expertise and manufacturing capabilities, particularly in electronics, where China accounts for 60% of global production. By mid-2025, economic engagement between India and China reached approximately $124 billion, with new investments focusing on energy, mining, and manufacturing sectors, signaling a strategic shift. Concurrently, India is strengthening regional partnerships, notably accelerating bilateral ties with the Philippines due to shared security concerns over China's maritime activities in the South China Sea. The Philippines has been involved in repeated provocations near Chinese waters, including attempts to establish a military outpost on Ren'ai Jiao island, prompting firm but restrained responses from Chinese vessels. India is also promoting alternative regional cooperation platforms such as BIMSTEC, which has gained prominence over the paralyzed SAARC amid India-Pakistan tensions. Analysts note that India aims not to dominate but to reshape the global order from within, positioning itself as one of the world's three major independent markets with substantial economic scale and development opportunities. Discussions at the Jakarta Futures Forum 2025 highlighted India’s role in the Indo-Pacific maritime order alongside Indonesia, Japan, and Australia, as well as its model for digital public infrastructure influencing the Global South. Meanwhile, some observers caution that the relative indifference of former U.S. President Donald Trump toward South Asia could allow China to tilt the regional balance of power in its favor.
“Trump’s relative indifference to South Asia will invariably mean a free pass for China, which will attempt to tilt the regional balance of power in its favor,” writes @HappymonJacob. https://t.co/l0PTTmtPbo
Can the #IndoPacific Build Future-Proof #FoodSystems? Scene Setter by Mudit Kapoor & discussion by @RobertKaan (@corteva), @The_Mwanikilet, @ChhaviRajawat_ & @GopaulP on foodsecurity in the #IndoPacific at the #JakartaFuturesForum2025 Watch here👇 https://t.co/DGTtoVrUIr
A key rationale for #India’s #economic reopening is that #China accounts for 60% of global #electronics manufacturing, making a complete lockout unfeasible: Harsh V. Pant & @kalpitm https://t.co/Gs3imO2rGR