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Guyana News

    Prediction markets for Guyana

    Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?

    Sep 9, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    14%chance
    6712610

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2479

    404

    ⌛What will happen in my lifetime?

    Feb 28, 10:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    779858

    OptionProbability

    I attend a Manifest

    MSTR breaks $1069

    Hollow Knight: Silksong releases

    Trump dies

    bitcoin reaches $100K usd

    Bitcoin Reaches $150K USD

    I live to 50 years old

    First female USA president

    Iceland OR Norway OR Japan ban whaling

    Manifold reaches 10,000 engaged users

    Azerbaijan invades Armenia

    Manifold Outlives me

    Team Fortress 3 releases

    Bitcoin reaches $200K usd

    Quantum computers consumer available

    Human walks on mars

    You get married

    I visit Japan

    Ukraine joins NATO

    China and Taiwan invasion/conflict happens

    Sesame Street ends

    New Zealand becomes a republic

    I have a child (biological or adopted)

    I release a second Steam game after Heartseeker

    Pokemon releases 2000 or more creatures

    The first dog walks off planet (mars, moon, etc)

    Wide consumer adoption of Neuralink or other brain implants

    Trump serves a day in jail

    @strutheo wins Masters League

    Immortality (a way to completely halt aging) is invented

    Someone has died on the moon

    A portion of what is now China (according to US) becomes an independent state

    Nuclear fusion commercially producing energy at scale

    LK-99 or another room temperature superconductor

    Any of the United States, United Kingdom, France, or Germany becomes a hybrid regime according to the Economist Democracy Index

    pickleball in the olympics

    i get a neuralink or other brain chip

    Iceland Norway and Japan all ban whaling

    Venezuela invades Guyana

    Liechtenstein no longer an independant country

    I spend 1 night in jail / prison / detainment

    San Marino no longer an independant country

    i walk on the moon

    I see the first baby born off planet

    All four of the United States, United Kingdom, France, and Germany become hybrid regimes according to the Economist Democracy Index

    100

    100

    100

    97

    97

    96

    91

    89

    86

    77

    77

    76

    76

    75

    75

    73

    72

    69

    69

    66

    66

    66

    65

    59

    57

    57

    50

    48

    48

    47

    45

    44

    43

    39

    35

    32

    29

    23

    22

    17

    16

    13

    10

    10

    5

    OptionProbability

    Saint Lucia

    Niue

    Jamaica

    Grenada

    Sri lanka

    Trinidad and tobago

    Guyana

    Lebanon

    Ghana

    Indonesia

    Kenya

    Eswatini

    Papua New Guinea

    Zimbabwe

    Bangladesh

    Ethiopia

    Russia

    Cameroon

    Algeria

    Tuvalu

    Sierra leone

    Tonga

    Samoa

    Kiribati

    Solomon islands

    Myanmar

    Brunei

    Maldives

    Saint vincent and the grenadines

    Comoros

    Tanzania

    Burundi

    Togo

    Mauritania

    Guinea

    Gambia

    Morocco

    Turkmenistan

    Uzbekistan

    Malaysia

    Afghanistan

    Qatar

    South sudan

    Senegal

    Syria

    UAE

    Oman

    Zambia

    Malawi

    Somalia

    Chad

    Tunisia

    Sahrawi Arab Democratic republic

    Somaliland

    Pakistan

    Yemen

    Kuwait

    Liberia

    Saudi Arabia

    Eritrea

    Mali

    Sudan

    Libya

    Iran

    Nigeria

    Iraq

    Egypt

    Uganda

    93

    90

    55

    50

    50

    50

    45

    44

    43

    37

    36

    35

    31

    27

    24

    22

    21

    21

    21

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    20

    18

    18

    18

    18

    18

    18

    18

    18

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    16

    16

    16

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    14

    12

    12

    10

    9

    8

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1473

    601

    Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before Venezuela invades Guyana?

    Feb 16, 6:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    78.45%chance
    283321

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2568

    1799

    Will Guyana suffer from the oil curse by 2035?

    Jun 19, 11:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
    30.26%chance
    18572

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1244

    830

    GDP per capita per country in 2050

    Feb 7, 9:45 AMMar 31, 9:59 PM
    15517

    OptionProbability

    USA

    Norway

    Switzerland

    Israel

    United Arab Emirates

    Guyana

    Germany

    Canada

    Japan

    China

    India

    72

    61

    61

    60

    50

    50

    44

    41

    34

    24

    15

    OptionProbability

    Lithuania

    Portugal

    Bahrain

    Bahamas

    Brunei

    Slovenia

    Andorra

    Estonia

    Kuwait

    Spain

    Saudi Arabia

    Czech Republic

    New Zealand

    France

    Malta

    Italy

    Cyprus

    Taiwan

    Finland

    Canada

    Germany

    United Arab Emirates

    Israel

    United Kingdom

    South Korea

    Japan

    76

    66

    66

    54

    50

    50

    44

    44

    42

    41

    41

    41

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    287

    57

    When will Guyana join the OPEC?

    Nov 17, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    30.86%chance
    699

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    344

    84

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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