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Top stories

Somalia Says Awdheegle Raid Kills Over 100 Al-Shabaab Fighters

Somalia Says Awdheegle Raid Kills Over 100 Al-Shabaab Fighters

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Horn of Africa

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8472

OptionProbability

0–1

2

3

4 +

57

30

7

6

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

17.73%chance

6338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

46

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

22.1%chance

15338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

956

Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?

Apr 19, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.2%chance

689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Somalia
War
Politics
Somalia Says Awdheegle Raid Kills Over 100 Al-Shabaab Fighters
Authors
3
9 months ago

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