House News

Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle

10 months ago

Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats

10 months ago

Trump Collaborates With Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune on First Major Federal Crime Bill Overhaul in 30 Years Ahead of 2026 Midterms

US Elections

US Legislation

Politics

Trump Collaborates With Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune on First Major Federal Crime Bill Overhaul in 30 Years Ahead of 2026 Midterms

10 months ago

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1541227767

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18.04%chance

412382614

OptionVotes

YES

1624

811

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

180289593

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

44.61%chance

276202911

OptionVotes

YES

1115

898

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

53.98%chance

221113913

OptionVotes

YES

1083

923

US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market

May 13, 4:10 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

1465963

OptionProbability

Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins

Connie Chan advances; Connie Chan wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Scott Wiener wins

Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Saikat Chakrabarti wins

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

80%chance

8765079

OptionVotes

YES

2001

500

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.72%chance

17742411

OptionVotes

YES

7301

1020

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Oct 26, 6:21 PMJan 20, 5:47 PM

535682

OptionProbability

No, less than half ballroom etc.

Yes, more than half ballroom etc

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

10297

9614

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.14%chance

13614

OptionVotes

YES

206

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.01%chance

2172

OptionVotes

YES

2772

2450

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
US Elections
US Legislation
Politics
Trump Collaborates With Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune on First Major Federal Crime Bill Overhaul in 30 Years Ahead of 2026 Midterms
Authors
15
10 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
US Legislation
US Judiciary
Texas
Texas Democrat Nicole Collier Refuses 24/7 Police Escort, Spends Nights in Capitol and Sues in GOP Redistricting Battle
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US Elections
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California
Kevin McCarthy Opposes California Redistricting Replicating DCCC Map; Robert Garcia District Redrawn, Chris Collins and Catalina Lauf Eye Florida Seats
Authors
11
10 months ago

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Prediction markets for House

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Prediction markets for House

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Latest stories

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