Houses of Parliament News
Prediction markets for Houses of Parliament
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
245109139
OptionProbability
91
90
90
85
85
82
80
77
76
75
74
71
70
69
65
52
52
51
50
48
46
42
42
42
41
41
39
39
38
37
37
36
35
35
32
31
31
30
30
29
28
28
28
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28
28
27
27
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
24
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21
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20
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20
20
20
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19
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13
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
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9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
1296
772
OptionProbability
96
1
1
1
1
1
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales?
Dec 20, 3:26 PMDec 27, 11:59 PM
231638
OptionProbability
62
36
1
1
Will the United States acquire or gain sovereignty over any part of Greenland by March 31, 2026?
Jan 19, 3:14 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM
8.15%chance
17916
OptionVotes
336
30
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM
68.46%chance
7760
OptionVotes
1475
680
OptionVotes
1571
637
Will Victoria, Australia legislate to replace Stamp Duty (property sales tax) with a land value tax before 2027?
Apr 19, 3:10 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
15.5%chance
10477
OptionVotes
307
103
Which member of Reform will be Chancellor after the next general election, if any?
Jan 17, 5:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6117
OptionProbability
62
9
7
4
4
4
4
4
OptionVotes
104
96
Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?
Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM
32%chance
597
OptionVotes
146
69
OptionVotes
100
100


