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Hyde News

    Prediction markets for Hyde

    Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

    Aug 21, 7:36 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM
    12042715581

    OptionProbability

    Bill Gates

    Elon Musk

    Jeff Bezos

    Mr. Beast

    Barack Obama

    Other

    Sam Altman

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    JD Vance

    Robert Caro

    Donald Trump

    Gwern Branwen

    pope Francis

    Kamala Harris

    Buffett

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Ilya Sutskever

    Jensen Huang

    Peter Thiel

    No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific

    Sarah Paine

    Tim Cook

    Satya Nadella

    Justin Trudeau

    Brian Shaw (_biggest_ guest yet?)

    Narendra Modi

    Xi Jinping

    Dalai Lama

    Taylor Swift

    Joe Biden

    Lebron James

    GPT-5

    Bill Clinton

    A basketball player

    Vladimir Putin

    Jesus Christ

    Rona Wang

    Jose Luis ricon

    Kettner Griswold

    James Koppel

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Nancy Pelosi

    Rishi Sunak

    Keir Starmer

    Satoshi Nakomoto

    Jimmy Carter

    George W Bush

    Al Gore

    Michael Jackson

    your mom

    roon

    Mitt Romney

    one or both of his parents

    A new OpenAI AI model not called "GPT-5"

    Connor Duffy

    MBS

    Geoffrey Hinton

    Scott Alexander

    The Mountain (Icelandic strongman)

    Leonardo DiCaprio

    RFK Jr

    Sydney Sweeney

    growing_daniel

    greg16676935420

    Deadpool

    Terence Tao

    Shaq

    Oprah Winfrey

    Yoshua Bengio

    Sundar Pichai

    Scarlett Johansson

    Paul McCartney

    [duplicate]

    Neel Nanda

    King Charles

    Kim Jong Un

    Gavin Newsom

    Royal Palace

    [cancelled option]

    Daniel Yergin

    Peter Singer

    Gabe Newell

    Neil Gorsuch

    Stephen Breyer

    Dmitry Medvedev

    JK Rowling

    Shrek

    Sam Hyde

    [invalid answer] Multiple people e.g. a team from OpenAI

    Marques Brownlee

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Ben Shindel

    Javier Milei

    Dylan Patel

    Joe Rogan

    Marc Andreessen

    Mike Tyson

    Jake Paul

    Matt Gaetz

    17

    15

    10

    10

    9

    7

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Sam Hyde stock

    Feb 21, 3:17 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM
    3107

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    107

    70

    Will the Hyde Amendment be repealed before 2030?

    Feb 23, 5:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    21.62%chance
    595

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    229

    114

    OptionProbability

    Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

    Other

    59

    41

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