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Prediction markets for Hyperion
Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
Jan 16, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.44%chance
3511655
OptionVotes
8352
653
OptionProbability
426
193
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM
56%chance
926143
OptionVotes
1095
783
OptionProbability
773
515
Will the US Government issue a statement criticising the Code of Practice of the EU AI Act in 2025?
May 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:21 PM
67.04%chance
303185
OptionVotes
2582
1615
Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s?
Jan 6, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
191157
OptionProbability
99
74
62
55
50
50
46
46
44
43
41
41
41
41
39
36
30
30
30
30
28
27
25
25
22
20
16
15
13
13
6
4
OptionProbability
99
85
75
65
64
61
57
56
50
50
50
50
43
19
Will Hyperion still be the world's tallest known tree at the beginning of 2030?
Feb 7, 7:24 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
65.89%chance
544
OptionVotes
180
130