Islamic Republic News

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets

6 months ago

Iran Warns War With Israel Could Break Out at Any Moment, Highlights New Missiles, Denies Ceasefire, Confirms 12-Day War Ceasefire

6 months ago

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.27%chance

10001125410

OptionVotes

YES

11869

8835

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

56.47%chance

161342158

OptionVotes

YES

1140

878

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

27%chance

3013364

OptionVotes

YES

1644

608

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.66%chance

5510864

OptionVotes

YES

7931

2959

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026

Jan 13, 11:54 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

62.66%chance

466733

OptionVotes

YES

1296

772

Will the Iranian protests end tragically?

Jan 9, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.28%chance

286614

OptionVotes

YES

1576

635

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.5%chance

285094

OptionVotes

YES

1455

701

When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?

Jan 3, 7:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

212455

OptionProbability

Before 2050

Before 2045

Before 2040

Before 2035

Before 2030

Before 2032

Before 2028

The government is not going to fall. It may transform in the future, but Libyan style collapse is not expected.

Before 2027

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.13%chance

181543

OptionVotes

YES

1341

866

When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?

Nov 25, 10:02 PMDec 2, 11:59 PM

7626

OptionProbability

No one (regime change, system change) = no Supreme Leader

Other

Mojtaba Khamenei

Hashem Hosseini Bushehri

Ongoing “interim” arrangement / power-sharing structure.

Alireza Arafi

Power struggle between 1 or more that sees rival Supreme Leaders both with actually realistic claims (based on authority/endorsements by senior clerics and religious figures etc).

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Jan 5, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:20 PM

42.2%chance

17540

OptionVotes

YES

117

Will Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?

Dec 16, 10:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.59%chance

7343

OptionVotes

YES

138

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Iran Warns War With Israel Could Break Out at Any Moment, Highlights New Missiles, Denies Ceasefire, Confirms 12-Day War Ceasefire
Authors
10
6 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Emerges Stronger After 12-Day War With Israel Despite Air Defenses Loss, Readiness Up, Eyes China Jets
Authors
6
6 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Islamic Republic News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Islamic Republic

Prediction markets for Islamic Republic

Prediction markets for Islamic Republic

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026

Will the Iranian protests end tragically?

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?

If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

Will Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram