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Prediction markets for Islamic Republic
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
52.77%chance
103119381
OptionVotes
1057
946
OptionVotes
87160
4383
Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?
Oct 2, 12:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.66%chance
11434204
OptionVotes
5130
195
OptionVotes
5350
187
Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
32%chance
283824
OptionVotes
1458
686
How much did the 2025/06/21 U.S. strikes on Iran delay the nuclear weapon program?
Jun 22, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4543
OptionProbability
77
56
45
35
20
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
Nov 25, 10:02 PMDec 2, 11:59 PM
7451
OptionProbability
28
17
16
15
9
8
6
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