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Prediction markets for Israel
OptionProbability
87
5
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16%chance
364112279
OptionVotes
2272
996
[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.01%chance
9743459
OptionVotes
6107
4377
Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
Mar 31, 11:32 AMJun 23, 5:59 AM
70%chance
8834622
OptionVotes
1603
256
[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.69%chance
5133992
OptionVotes
28090
2258
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
85.37%chance
11815348
OptionVotes
4955
621
Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM
25.34%chance
5911690
OptionVotes
1489
764
Will Bibi still be the prime minister of Israel in 2027?
Aug 7, 11:44 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
63.01%chance
567457
OptionVotes
1457
366
In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?
Jun 5, 11:02 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
64.57%chance
92190
OptionVotes
1350
741
Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
61.83%chance
112048
OptionVotes
1138
717
Will Israel authorize the sale of offensive military equipment to Ukraine?
Sep 10, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
57.14%chance
22917
OptionVotes
1159
827
Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?
May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25




