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Prediction markets for Kazakhstan
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
98
97
92
92
84
84
73
63
63
62
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59
53
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49
45
44
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44
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10
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
1
0
0
OptionProbability
98
96
95
93
91
89
88
88
86
85
82
82
81
80
78
78
75
72
72
72
71
67
64
61
56
54
53
52
52
47
44
43
33
31
24
20
16
14
13
13
12
12
10
9
9
8
7
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
OptionVotes
2710
1934
OptionProbability
94
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
71
34
29
19
17
14
13
12
12
11
10
7
5
5
4
1
Will Kazakhstan experience mass mobilization, for any reasons, before end of 2026?
Jan 25, 9:30 AMDec 31, 9:28 AM
11.85%chance
293789
OptionVotes
2728
367
What will be the next country attacked by Russia after Ukraine?
May 12, 5:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
381635
OptionProbability
26
20
18
10
5
5
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
Will a military conflict break out between Russia and Kazakhstan in the next five years?
Oct 4, 4:29 PMOct 11, 5:59 PM
16.3%chance
18915
OptionVotes
252
108
Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?
Oct 5, 11:45 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
9.58%chance
19733
OptionVotes
364
167
In which country's territory will the next nuclear explosion of any type occur?
Jun 25, 5:53 AMDec 31, 6:53 AM
12257
OptionProbability
20
20
17
12
10
10
6
5
Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station?
Apr 16, 6:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
4185
OptionProbability
82
59
50
50
44
44
44
44
44
Will Kazakhstan get a nuclear bomb before end of 2050?
Apr 22, 11:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.34%chance
4171
OptionVotes
211
47
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