OptionProbability
Montgomery H.S. (Skillman, NJ)
'Iolani School (Honolulu, HI)
TJHSST (Alexandria, VA)
Stuyvesant H.S. (New York, NY)
Baton Rouge Magnet H.S. (Baton Rouge, LA)
Charter School of Wilmington (Wilmington, DE)
BASIS Washington, D.C. (Washington, DC)
Morgantown H.S. (Morgantown, WV)
Clinton H.S. (Clinton, SC)
Hamilton H.S. (Hamilton, MT)
Bentonville West H.S. (Centerton, AR)
Acton-Boxborough Regional H.S. (Acton, MA)
Mounds View H.S. (Arden Hills, MN)
Great Neck South H.S. (Great Neck, NY)
James Clemens H.S. (Huntsville, AL)
Socorro High School (Socorro, NM)
Sunset High School (Portland, OR)
New Trier H.S. (Winnetka, IL)
Barrington H.S. (Barrington, RI)
Troy H.S. (Fullerton, CA-S)
William G. Enloe H.S. (Raleigh, NC)
duPont Manual H.S. (Louisville, KY)
South Windsor H.S. (South Windsor, CT)
Seven Lakes H.S. (Katy, TX)
Harriton H.S. (Rosemont, PA)
Mason H.S. (Mason, OH)
Adlai E. Stevenson H.S. (Lincolnshire, IL)
Centennial H.S. (Ellicott City, MD)
NCSSM (Durham, NC)
Casady School (Oklahoma City, OK)
Novi H.S. (Novi, MI)
Solon H.S. (Solon, OH)
Madison West H.S. (Madison, WI)
Oakton H.S. (Vienna, VA)
Kelly Walsh H.S. (Casper, WY)
Marquette University H.S. (Milwaukee, WI)
Ames H.S. (Ames, IA)
Boca Raton Community H.S. (Boca Raton, FL)
BASIS Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
Fulton Science Academy (Alpharetta, GA)
Yankton H.S. (Yankton, SD)
Pioneer H.S. (Ann Arbor, MI)
Ladue Horton Watkins H.S. (St. Louis, MO)
Walton H.S. (Marietta, GA)
Ed W. Clark H.S. (Las Vegas, NV)
Carmel H.S. (Carmel, IN)
Lincoln Science Focus Program H.S. (Lincoln, NE)
Monta Vista H.S. (Cupertino, CA-N)
Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH)
Liberal Arts and Science Academy (Austin, TX)
The Frazer School (Gainesville, FL)
Tesla STEM H.S. (Redmond, WA)
Waterford School (Sandy, UT)
Falmouth H.S. (Falmouth, ME)
Century H.S. (Bismarck, ND)
Fossil Ridge H.S. (Fort Collins, CO)
White Station H.S. (Memphis, TN)
West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. North (Plainsboro, NJ)
Cumberland Valley H.S. (Mechanicsburg, PA)
Lower Merion H.S. (Ardmore, PA)
Blue Valley West H.S. (Overland Park, KS)
Homeschool Science Colorado (Colorado Springs, CO)
Ravenwood H.S. (Brentwood, TN)
Pembroke Hill School (Kansas City, MO)
Waynflete School (Portland, ME)
Parklane Academy (McComb, MS)
Advanced Technologies Academy (Las Vegas, NV)
Mountain View H.S. (Mountain View, CA-N)
Jordan H.S. (Fulshear, TX)
Burr and Burton Academy (Manchester, VT)
Chattahoochee H.S. (Johns Creek, GA)
Blue Valley North H.S. (Overland Park, KS)
West H.S. (Salt Lake City, UT)
Bismarck H.S. (Bismarck, ND)
Archimedean Upper Conservatory (Miami, FL)
Munster H.S. (Munster, IN)
Lebanon H.S. (Lebanon, NH)
Troy H.S. (Troy, MI)
Northville H.S. (Northville, MI)
Brookwood H.S. (Snellville, GA)
Olathe North H.S. (Olathe, KS)
Nampa H.S. (Nampa, ID)
Madison Central H.S. (Madison, MS)
James S. Rickards H.S. (Tallahassee, FL)
Davidson Academy (Reno, NV)
Northridge H.S. (Middlebury, IN)
Interlake H.S. (Bellevue, WA)
Camas H.S. (Camas, WA)
Bothell H.S. (Bothell, WA)
Richard Montgomery H.S. (Rockville, MD)
Montgomery Blair H.S. (Silver Spring, MD)
Castro Valley H.S. (Castro Valley, CA-N)
Adrian's Barbershop (Woburn, MA)
Lexington H.S. (Lexington, MA)
Syosset H.S. (Syosset, NY)
C.G. Woodson H.S. (Fairfax, VA)
Eagan H.S. (Eagan, MN)
Jesuit H.S. (Portland, OR)
Alabama School of Fine Arts (Birmingham, AL)
La Cueva H.S. (Albuquerque, NM)
West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. South (West Windsor, NJ)
Ward Melville H.S. (East Setauket, NY)
Jericho H.S. (Jericho, NY)
Westview H.S. (Portland, OR)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
98
96
95
95
94
94
92
92
92
92
90
89
89
85
84
84
83
82
81
80
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
73
72
72
71
67
65
64
64
61
59
55
55
53
53
52
50
49
45
43
40
38
37
37
36
35
34
33
31
31
31
28
28
26
23
20
20
20
20
20
18
16
15
14
13
11
9
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Idols (hidden individual immunity, whether found at camp, obtained through beware advantages, journeys, or otherwise)
Advantages: Dynamic Power
Tribe Swap (YES) / No Tribe Swap (NO)
Live Finale and Reunion Show in LA (YES) / Winner Reveal and After show in Fiji (NO)
Lots of twists (YES) / Straightforward game (NO)
Final Four Challenge: Option C (Simmotion; the ball track one)
Final Four Challenge: Option A (Plinko + Puzzle)
Final Four Fire Making (YES) / Final four elimination decided by vote (NO)
Final Four Challenge: Option B (Obstacle course ft mud and puzzle)
Start with rice (YES) / Make them earn rice (NO)
Advantages: Minimal Power
Advantages: Strategic Power
100
100
99
98
69
45
32
20
20
0
0
0
OptionProbability
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henly lead J.J. Spaun?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Keegan Bradley lead Colin Morikawa?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Maverick McNealy?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Corey Conners lead Kristoffer Reitan?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ryan Riley lead Chris Gerard?
01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Robert MacIntyre lead Jacob Bridgeman?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Davis Riley lead Taylor Pendrith?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Lee Hodges lead Harry Hall?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Si Woo Kim?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Jason Day lead Andrew Putnam?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Tom Hoge lead Davis Riley?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Joel Dahmen lead Max McGreevy?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Chris Gotterup?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Jake Knapp lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Jake Knapp lead Pierceson Coody?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Maverick McNealy?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Maverick McNealy?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Michael Thorbjornsen lead Maverick McNealy?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Ludvig Åberg lead Xander Schauffele?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
91-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
03-01, After Round 4 of the Cognizant Classic in Palm Beach Gardens, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Patrick Reed lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Patrick Reed?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Scottie Scheffler?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Patrick Reed?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Scottie Scheffler?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
02-22, After Round 4 of the Genesis Invitational in Pacific Pallisades, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Robert McIntyre lead Ben Griffin?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Aaron Rai lead Chris Gotterup?
03-08, After Round 4 of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Chris Gotterup?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Alex Smalley lead John Parry?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Chris Gotterup?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Kevin Roy lead Chris Gotterup?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Matt McCarty lead Si Woo Kim?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Ryan Gerard lead Chris Gotterup?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Matt McCarty lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Sam Stevens lead Si Woo Kim?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Danny Walker lead Eric Cole?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Danny Walker lead Eric Cole?
02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Hideki Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
03-15, After Round 4 of The Players Championship, will Ludvig Åberg lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Corey Conners lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Justin Thomas lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Corey Conners lead Justin Thoomas?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
90
85
69
66
65
59
59
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
44
41
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Christian Pulisic
Folarin Balogun
Chris Richards
Weston McKennie
Matt Freese
Antonee Robinson
Malik Tillman
Tyler Adams
Sergiño Dest
Diego Luna
Alex Freeman
Timothy Weah
Tanner Tessmann
Matt Turner
Haji Wright
Gio Reyna
Miles Robinson
Brenden Aaronson
Mark McKenzie
Tim Ream
Joe Scally
Aidan Morris
Johnny Cardoso
Max Arfsten
Patrick Schulte
Cameron Carter-Vickers
Ricardo Pepi
Cristian Roldan
Roman Celentano
Auston Trusty
Sean Zawadzki
Jack McGlynn
John Tolkin
Timmy Tillman
Sebastian Berhalter
Patrick Agyemang
Alejandro Zendejas
Quinn Sullivan
Josh Sargent
Zack Steffen
Paxten Aaronson
Djordje Mihailovic
Kellyn Acosta
Yunus Musah
Jordan Morris
Paul Arriola
Kristoffer Lund
Walker Zimmerman
Tristan Blackmon
Drake Callender
Brian White
Marlon Fossey
Luca de la Torre
Jesús Ferreira
Brandon Vázquez
Sean Johnson
Shaq Moore
Daryl Dike
Cade Cowell
Emmanuel Sabbi
Mauricio Cuevas
James Sands
Ethan Horvath
Damion Downs
Jonathan Klinsmann
Lucho Acosta
Taha Habroune
DeAndre Yedlin
Julian Gressel
96
89
86
85
84
83
81
79
77
75
74
71
71
70
69
68
59
58
56
56
54
53
52
52
50
49
47
45
45
43
34
32
31
28
28
26
25
24
23
22
22
21
18
17
15
15
13
12
11
10
10
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
4
4
OptionProbability
Comeback in second leg when 2+ goals down in aggregate
Comeback in second leg when 3+ goals down in aggregate
Final is played between 2 teams from different league
EPL team in the final
La liga team in the final
2+ red cards in a single game
Bundesliga team in the final
All 4 semi final teams are from different league
Final is played between 2 teams of same league
A team not from top 5 league reaches semi final
100
100
73
60
59
50
44
34
27
15
OptionProbability
Abelardo de la Espriella
Iván Cepeda Castro
Paloma Valencia
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
Roy Barreras
Vicky Dávila (IND)
Other
38
38
10
5
3
3
3
OptionProbability
Matt Stafford (LA Rams, 1x Super Bowl wins as of 2024)
Jared Goff (DET Lions, 0x Super Bowl wins as of 2024)
84
16
OptionProbability
≥1 bones (like Denisova 4, Homo denisova, ~60kya)
≥2 bones (like Xiahe mandible, Homo denisova, ~160kya)
≥20 bones (enough for ~complete skull, like La Ferrassie 1, Homo neanderthalensis, ~50kya)
No more fossils found
≥40 bones (like AL 288-1 / Lucy / Dinkʼinesh, Australopithecus afarensis, ~3.2Mya)
≥100 bones (like KNM-WT 15000 / Turkana Boy / Nariokotome Boy, Homo erectus, ~1.5Mya)
≥200 bones (~complete skeleton, like Barum Woman / Bäckaskogskvinna, Homo sapiens, ~9kya)
≥200 bones plus preserved soft tissues (mummified body, like Ötzi / The Iceman, Homo sapiens, ~5.2kya)
71
41
34
31
31
27
20
19
OptionProbability
Tatiana Clouthier
Waldo Fernandez Gonzalez
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
Fermando Margain Sada
Adrian de la Garza Santos
Clara Luz Flores
Other
Cesar Garza Villarreal
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
Andrés Mijes Llovera
Héctor García García
Ildefonso Guajardo Villarreal
15
13
9
9
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
OptionProbability
Rick Caruso
Lindsey Horvath
Other
No LA County Executive elected in 2028 for any reason
27
27
27
20
OptionProbability
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire FC
FC Cincinnati
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
D.C. United
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo FC
Sporting Kansas City
LA Galaxy
Los Angeles Football Club
Inter Miami CF
Minnesota United FC
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Red Bull New York
New York City Football Club
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Diego FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City SC
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
OptionProbability
Chicago, IL
New Orleans, LA
St. Louis, MO
Los Angeles, CA
Philadelphia, PA
Boston, MA
San Antonio, TX
Atlanta, GA
Denver, CO
Dallas, TX
Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)
Other
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
