OptionProbability
He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released
He leaves Argentina during his first term
He travels to Chile during his first term
He travels to Brazil during his first term
He is photographed with Elon Musk
A photo of him with Trump is released
A photo of Milei with Biden is released
His sister Karina holds an official public governmental position
Will he publicly shake hands with Lula?
Will Elon Musk post Milei's picture, real or meme form, as long as he's clearly identifiable?
Heritage.org economic freedom score will be at or above the world average [Argentina 51.0, world 59.3 in 2023]
Argentina will be at 63rd or better place in the good country index [63rd in 2023]
Argentina will have improved its "corruption perceptions index" ranking [96th]; their score in 2023 was 38, higher score is better
His salary as president is legislatively raised or lowered
Heritage.org economic freedom score will be 60 or above [51 in 2023]
Argentina will be at or better than its 2023 US news "best country" rating of 39
According to amnesty international, the poverty rate will go down [36.5% in 2022]
Annualized inflation rate relative to 2023 will be <30%
He wins reelection to a 2nd term
There are serious news reports that he is discussing working with Elon Musk on a major project such as a new city, or a Tesla factory, or a rocket base, etc.
A sitting US President visits Argentina and is photographed with him
Will Pope Francis or a new Pope visit?
The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16k USD [13700 in 2023]
LLM Q2: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of term, when asked from the POV of various international media outlets, what average rating will they give him?
The Economist data will list GDP person as above 16000 USD [13700 in 2023]
Argentina will have improved its "Sustainable Development Report" of 51st place
LLM Q1: Will OpenAI's top public LLM at end of his term rate his performance at >50%?
He travels to Bolivia
Victoria Villarruel leaves government and does not hold the office of vice president before end of term
Argentina will finish in the top 4 in the 2026 world cup
Milei is revealed to not really be a Vegan (or just stops being Vegan)
He sells land to a non-argentinian individual or corporation with some promises of a level of sovereignty above what is normal
He leads Argentina to significantly begin cooperation with SpaceX
Argentina's population increases by more than 1%/year annualized til end of first term [historically, there has been approx 0.6% annual increase in the last 4 years]
He goes incommunicado for at least a week
Will the organ trade be legalized? (significantly legalized compared to the rest of S.America suffices)
Elon says the phrase or something similar, as a slogan or statement, or wears something with "VVLC", "Vive la libertad carajo" in english or spanish
He marries during his first term
He significantly changes his hairstyle during his first term
US Military gains any kind of base for at least 10 active duty military personnel within Argentina
He is impeached or removed in a process which is retroactively considered legal for at least a week
There is an assassination attempt resulting in shots fired
He successfully mediates the border dispute with Chile and completely solves it
Argentina will finish in the top 2 in the 2026 world cup
Will he ever be TIME person of the year?
Argentina's population ever decreases year over year during the first term
He leaves office early from his first term, i.e. not completing the usual 4 years
He goes out of office for physical health-related reasons [independent health-related only; assassination, disappearance, quitting, or psychological reasons don't count]
He successfully dollarizes Argentina [i.e. most people use dollars most of the time]
Argentina will win the 2026 world cup
The official borders of Argentina change during his term of office
Argentina accepts some kind of Cryptocurrency for payment of taxes or gov't fees
The Argentine peso will have been officially deprecated and not in legal use
He is jailed, emprisoned, or held in state control during what was his original planned term of office
He travels to Russia during his first term
He changes the law such that he retains power longer than the usual 4 years without a new election
He is in a serious car or motorcycle crash
Will he abolish the central bank of Argentina?
He has a child during his first term
He is excommunicated by the catholic church
Argentina will declare war
He gets banned from Twitter [even momentarily]
He publicly resigns [whether real or coerced]
He is in a plane (or helicopter) crash
He passes away during his first term before completion
There is a military action in the Falklands/Malvinas which results in the death of at least 2 soldiers from any side
Argentina effectively controls the Falklands/Malvinas or part of them, for at least a week
He officially converts to Judaism
Will Argentina join BRICS?
Will at any time, the US have a travel advisory against Argentina at level 3 or 4 or higher? (level 1 now)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
91
88
86
84
83
78
72
71
65
63
56
56
55
50
48
48
45
45
40
38
38
36
34
30
29
28
27
26
26
26
25
23
23
22
22
21
20
17
13
12
11
11
8
7
7
6
6
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
Montgomery H.S. (Skillman, NJ)
'Iolani School (Honolulu, HI)
TJHSST (Alexandria, VA)
Stuyvesant H.S. (New York, NY)
Baton Rouge Magnet H.S. (Baton Rouge, LA)
Charter School of Wilmington (Wilmington, DE)
BASIS Washington, D.C. (Washington, DC)
Morgantown H.S. (Morgantown, WV)
Clinton H.S. (Clinton, SC)
Hamilton H.S. (Hamilton, MT)
Bentonville West H.S. (Centerton, AR)
Acton-Boxborough Regional H.S. (Acton, MA)
Mounds View H.S. (Arden Hills, MN)
Great Neck South H.S. (Great Neck, NY)
James Clemens H.S. (Huntsville, AL)
Socorro High School (Socorro, NM)
Sunset High School (Portland, OR)
New Trier H.S. (Winnetka, IL)
Barrington H.S. (Barrington, RI)
Troy H.S. (Fullerton, CA-S)
William G. Enloe H.S. (Raleigh, NC)
duPont Manual H.S. (Louisville, KY)
South Windsor H.S. (South Windsor, CT)
Seven Lakes H.S. (Katy, TX)
Harriton H.S. (Rosemont, PA)
Mason H.S. (Mason, OH)
Adlai E. Stevenson H.S. (Lincolnshire, IL)
Centennial H.S. (Ellicott City, MD)
NCSSM (Durham, NC)
Casady School (Oklahoma City, OK)
Novi H.S. (Novi, MI)
Solon H.S. (Solon, OH)
Madison West H.S. (Madison, WI)
Oakton H.S. (Vienna, VA)
Kelly Walsh H.S. (Casper, WY)
Marquette University H.S. (Milwaukee, WI)
Ames H.S. (Ames, IA)
Boca Raton Community H.S. (Boca Raton, FL)
BASIS Chandler (Chandler, AZ)
Fulton Science Academy (Alpharetta, GA)
Yankton H.S. (Yankton, SD)
Pioneer H.S. (Ann Arbor, MI)
Ladue Horton Watkins H.S. (St. Louis, MO)
Walton H.S. (Marietta, GA)
Ed W. Clark H.S. (Las Vegas, NV)
Carmel H.S. (Carmel, IN)
Lincoln Science Focus Program H.S. (Lincoln, NE)
Monta Vista H.S. (Cupertino, CA-N)
Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH)
Liberal Arts and Science Academy (Austin, TX)
The Frazer School (Gainesville, FL)
Tesla STEM H.S. (Redmond, WA)
Waterford School (Sandy, UT)
Falmouth H.S. (Falmouth, ME)
Century H.S. (Bismarck, ND)
Fossil Ridge H.S. (Fort Collins, CO)
White Station H.S. (Memphis, TN)
West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. North (Plainsboro, NJ)
Cumberland Valley H.S. (Mechanicsburg, PA)
Lower Merion H.S. (Ardmore, PA)
Blue Valley West H.S. (Overland Park, KS)
Homeschool Science Colorado (Colorado Springs, CO)
Ravenwood H.S. (Brentwood, TN)
Pembroke Hill School (Kansas City, MO)
Waynflete School (Portland, ME)
Parklane Academy (McComb, MS)
Advanced Technologies Academy (Las Vegas, NV)
Mountain View H.S. (Mountain View, CA-N)
Jordan H.S. (Fulshear, TX)
Burr and Burton Academy (Manchester, VT)
Chattahoochee H.S. (Johns Creek, GA)
Blue Valley North H.S. (Overland Park, KS)
West H.S. (Salt Lake City, UT)
Bismarck H.S. (Bismarck, ND)
Archimedean Upper Conservatory (Miami, FL)
Munster H.S. (Munster, IN)
Lebanon H.S. (Lebanon, NH)
Troy H.S. (Troy, MI)
Northville H.S. (Northville, MI)
Brookwood H.S. (Snellville, GA)
Olathe North H.S. (Olathe, KS)
Nampa H.S. (Nampa, ID)
Madison Central H.S. (Madison, MS)
James S. Rickards H.S. (Tallahassee, FL)
Davidson Academy (Reno, NV)
Northridge H.S. (Middlebury, IN)
Interlake H.S. (Bellevue, WA)
Camas H.S. (Camas, WA)
Bothell H.S. (Bothell, WA)
Richard Montgomery H.S. (Rockville, MD)
Montgomery Blair H.S. (Silver Spring, MD)
Castro Valley H.S. (Castro Valley, CA-N)
Adrian's Barbershop (Woburn, MA)
Lexington H.S. (Lexington, MA)
Syosset H.S. (Syosset, NY)
C.G. Woodson H.S. (Fairfax, VA)
Eagan H.S. (Eagan, MN)
Jesuit H.S. (Portland, OR)
Alabama School of Fine Arts (Birmingham, AL)
La Cueva H.S. (Albuquerque, NM)
West Windsor-Plainsboro H.S. South (West Windsor, NJ)
Ward Melville H.S. (East Setauket, NY)
Jericho H.S. (Jericho, NY)
Westview H.S. (Portland, OR)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
98
96
95
95
94
94
92
92
92
92
90
89
89
85
84
84
83
82
81
80
78
77
76
75
74
74
73
73
72
72
71
67
65
64
64
61
59
55
55
53
53
52
50
49
45
43
40
38
37
37
36
35
34
33
31
31
31
28
28
26
23
20
20
20
20
20
18
16
15
14
13
11
9
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Paloma Valencia
Iván Cepeda
Abelardo de la Espriella
Victoria Dávila
Juan Manuel Galán
Sergio Fajardo
Gustavo Bolívar
María Fernanda Cabal
María José Pizarro
Germán Vargas Lleras
Roy Barreras
Other
Claudia López
Miguel Uribe Turbay
37
34
22
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
OptionProbability
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henly lead J.J. Spaun?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Keegan Bradley lead Colin Morikawa?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Maverick McNealy?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Corey Conners lead Kristoffer Reitan?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Ben Griffin?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ryan Riley lead Chris Gerard?
01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Robert MacIntyre lead Jacob Bridgeman?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Davis Riley lead Taylor Pendrith?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Lee Hodges lead Harry Hall?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Blades Brown lead Si Woo Kim?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Jason Day lead Andrew Putnam?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Tom Hoge lead Davis Riley?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Joel Dahmen lead Max McGreevy?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Chris Gotterup?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Jake Knapp lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Jake Knapp lead Pierceson Coody?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Maverick McNealy?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Maverick McNealy?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Michael Thorbjornsen lead Maverick McNealy?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Pierceson Coody?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Ludvig Åberg lead Xander Schauffele?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
91-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Russell Henley lead Keegan Bradley?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
03-01, After Round 4 of the Cognizant Classic in Palm Beach Gardens, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Patrick Reed lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Patrick Reed?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Rory McIlroy lead Scottie Scheffler?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Justin Rose?
04-12, After Round 4 of The Masters, will Scottie Scheffler lead Patrick Reed?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Scottie Scheffler?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Scottie Scheffler lead Nick Taylor?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
02-22, After Round 4 of the Genesis Invitational in Pacific Pallisades, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Robert McIntyre lead Ben Griffin?
1-15, After Round 1 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Aaron Rai lead Chris Gotterup?
03-08, After Round 4 of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando, will Hideki Matsuyama lead Si Woo Kim?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Chris Gotterup?
1-16, After Round 2 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Alex Smalley lead John Parry?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Nick Taylor lead Kevin Roy?
1-17, After Round 3 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Ben Griffin lead Kevin Roy?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Harry Hall lead Chris Gotterup?
1-18, After Round 4 of the Sony Open in Hawaii, will Kevin Roy lead Chris Gotterup?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-23, After Round 2 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-25, After Round 4 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Russell Henley lead Scottie Scheffler?
01-22, After Round 1 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Ryan Gerard lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-24, After Round 3 of the American Express in La Quinta, will Matt McCarty lead Si Woo Kim?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Ryan Gerard lead Chris Gotterup?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Matt McCarty lead Patrick Rodgers?
01-29, After Round 1 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Sam Stevens lead Si Woo Kim?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Justin Lower lead Justin Rose?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Max Greyersman lead Hideki Matsuyama?
01-30, After Round 2 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Stephan Jaeger lead Seamus Power?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Seamus Power lead Justin Rose?
01-31, After Round 3 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Danny Walker lead Eric Cole?
02-01, After Round 4 of the Farmers Insurance Open in San Diego, will Danny Walker lead Eric Cole?
02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Scottie Scheffler lead Chris Gotterup?
02-05, After Round 1 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-06, After Round 2 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Si Woo Kim lead Pierceson Coody?
02-07, After Round 3 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Hideki Matsuyama?
02-08, After Round 4 of the WM Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, will Nicolai Højgaard lead Hideki Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Scottie Scheffler lead Jordan Spieth?
02-13, After Round 2 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Chris Gotterup lead Ryan Gerard?
02-12, After Round 1 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Justin Rose lead Si Woo Kim?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Jake Knapp?
02-14, After Round 3 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
02-15, After Round 4 of the ATT Pebble Beach Pro-Am in Pebble Beach, will Ryo Hisatsune lead Sam Burns?
03-15, After Round 4 of The Players Championship, will Ludvig Åberg lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Corey Conners lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Justin Thomas lead Xander Schauffele?
03-14, After Round 3 of The Players Championship, will Corey Conners lead Justin Thoomas?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
90
85
69
66
65
59
59
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
44
41
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Christian Pulisic
Folarin Balogun
Chris Richards
Weston McKennie
Matt Freese
Antonee Robinson
Malik Tillman
Tyler Adams
Sergiño Dest
Diego Luna
Alex Freeman
Timothy Weah
Tanner Tessmann
Matt Turner
Haji Wright
Gio Reyna
Miles Robinson
Brenden Aaronson
Mark McKenzie
Tim Ream
Joe Scally
Aidan Morris
Johnny Cardoso
Max Arfsten
Patrick Schulte
Cameron Carter-Vickers
Ricardo Pepi
Cristian Roldan
Roman Celentano
Auston Trusty
Sean Zawadzki
Jack McGlynn
John Tolkin
Timmy Tillman
Sebastian Berhalter
Patrick Agyemang
Alejandro Zendejas
Quinn Sullivan
Josh Sargent
Zack Steffen
Paxten Aaronson
Djordje Mihailovic
Kellyn Acosta
Yunus Musah
Jordan Morris
Paul Arriola
Kristoffer Lund
Walker Zimmerman
Tristan Blackmon
Drake Callender
Brian White
Marlon Fossey
Luca de la Torre
Jesús Ferreira
Brandon Vázquez
Sean Johnson
Shaq Moore
Daryl Dike
Cade Cowell
Emmanuel Sabbi
Mauricio Cuevas
James Sands
Ethan Horvath
Damion Downs
Jonathan Klinsmann
Lucho Acosta
Taha Habroune
DeAndre Yedlin
Julian Gressel
96
89
86
85
84
83
81
79
77
75
74
71
71
70
69
68
59
58
56
56
54
53
52
52
50
49
47
45
45
43
34
32
31
28
28
26
25
24
23
22
22
21
18
17
15
15
13
12
11
10
10
9
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
4
4
OptionProbability
In 2028 and in LA.
Not in 2028 but in LA
In 2028 but not in LA
Neither in 2028 nor in LA
90
3
3
3
OptionProbability
Portland, OR
Memphis
Detroit, MI
Minneapolis
Chicago, IL
Baltimore, MD
San Francisco, CA
Seattle, WA
Philadelphia, PA
New Orleans, LA
Oakland, CA
Miami, FL
100
100
50
50
49
48
45
45
45
40
37
26
OptionProbability
NO SOLO NO-HITTER IN 2026
Other
Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees)
Cole Ragans (Kansas City Royals)
Zack Wheeler (Philadelphia Phillies)
Garrett Crochet (Boston Red Sox)
Corbin Burnes (Arizona Diamondbacks)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LA Dodgers)
Hunter Greene (Cincinnati Reds)
Tarik Skubal (Detroit Tigers)
Paul Skenes (Pittsburgh Pirates)
George Kirby (Seattle Mariners)
Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners)
Trey Yesavage (Toronto Blue Jays)
Nolan McLean (New York Mets)
Bubba Chandler (Pittsburgh Pirates)
Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees)
Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians)
Hunter Brown (Houston Astros)
Carlos Rodón (New York Yankees)
Framber Valdez (Houston Astros)
Luis Castillo (Philadelphia Phillies)
Logan Gilbert (Seattle Mariners)
Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers)
Roki Sasaki (Los Angeles Dodgers)
15
9
8
8
7
6
6
5
5
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Other
AC Milan
Inter Miami
Napoli
LA Galaxy
Al-Nassr
--finishes career at FC Barcelona--
37
21
9
9
9
9
7
OptionProbability
Tatiana Clouthier
Waldo Fernandez Gonzalez
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
Fermando Margain Sada
Adrian de la Garza Santos
Clara Luz Flores
Other
Cesar Garza Villarreal
Carlos de la Fuente Flores
Daniel Carrillo Martínez
Andrés Mijes Llovera
Héctor García García
Ildefonso Guajardo Villarreal
15
13
9
9
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
OptionProbability
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire FC
FC Cincinnati
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
D.C. United
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo FC
Sporting Kansas City
LA Galaxy
Los Angeles Football Club
Inter Miami CF
Minnesota United FC
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Red Bull New York
New York City Football Club
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Diego FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City SC
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
OptionProbability
Chicago, IL
New Orleans, LA
St. Louis, MO
Los Angeles, CA
Philadelphia, PA
Boston, MA
San Antonio, TX
Atlanta, GA
Denver, CO
Dallas, TX
Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)
Other
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8

