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Prediction markets for Land of Israel
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM
3615242
OptionProbability
26
0
0
0
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.29%chance
10510072
OptionVotes
295
34
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.89%chance
307328
OptionVotes
8082
3701
🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
13.08%chance
322986
OptionVotes
1738
817
OptionVotes
1011
598
OptionVotes
1395
717
OptionVotes
396
25
Will >90% of the Gaza Strip and Israel be part of the same country before 2035?
Nov 5, 9:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
7.23%chance
5323
OptionVotes
302
42
Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?
Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.53%chance
6306
OptionVotes
242
41
Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?
Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.89%chance
4230
OptionVotes
115
87
Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?
Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM
44.9%chance
6159
OptionVotes
111
90
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Jul 20, 6:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.71%chance
3122
OptionVotes
143
94