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Prediction markets for Lithuania
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
Jan 21, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.08%chance
10028985
OptionVotes
1181
1044
OptionProbability
99
96
95
94
93
93
93
92
90
88
86
85
85
80
80
78
75
75
68
64
64
64
61
54
53
45
44
44
43
40
34
33
32
31
24
20
16
14
13
13
12
12
10
9
9
8
7
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
OptionProbability
46
15
8
8
5
5
4
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
65
61
55
50
50
50
12
5
OptionProbability
23
21
20
20
20
20
20
19
18
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
14
13
11
6
5
What will be the next country attacked by Russia after Ukraine?
May 12, 5:47 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
381635
OptionProbability
26
20
18
10
5
5
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?
Jan 15, 2:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
301562
OptionProbability
34
28
14
9
7
5
2
1
0
Which country will be the last one to win the Eurovision song contest at least once?
Mar 18, 8:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
161227
OptionProbability
57
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
2
2
OptionProbability
20
14
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
88
73
71
53
50
44
41
37
35
31
27
25
21
16
OptionProbability
34
29
8
7
5
5
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
Which countries will join the European Space Agency as full members before 2031?
Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
598
OptionProbability
55
54
52
41
36
36
31
20
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