Maduro News

US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift

7 months ago

Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?

Jan 7, 4:13 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

167231211

OptionProbability

We don't find out by end of 2026

Other

Pete Hegseth (SecDef)

Jorge Rodríguez (brother of Delcy Rodríguez)

Aurelio Perez-Lugones (Pentagon Contractor)

JD Vance (VP)

Stephen Miller (Homeland Security)

Barron Trump

Marco Rubio (Sec State)

John Ratcliffe (CIA)

Nicolás Maduro (former Venezuelan President)

Eitan Levi (is a civilian associate within the extended personal network of a U.S. Delta Force member)

Amanda Rubio (daughter of Marco Rubio)

Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?

Dec 30, 7:25 PMDec 31, 1:45 PM

2.32%chance

9962646

OptionVotes

YES

6496

154

Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?

Jan 3, 7:52 PMFeb 28, 7:51 PM

45.74%chance

7510384

OptionVotes

YES

203

197

When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro?

Jan 4, 3:48 AMDec 29, 11:59 PM

324027

OptionProbability

before December 28 2027 (ET)

before 31 December 2026 (ET)

before September 2026 (ET)

before August 2026 (ET)

before June 2026 (ET)

before April 2026 (ET)

before February 2026 (ET)

before March 2026 (ET)

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.04%chance

263356

OptionVotes

YES

2717

1188

If the Musk/Maduro fight happens and Maduro loses, will Maduro cede power?

Aug 1, 11:23 PMJul 29, 3:59 AM

24.81%chance

112020

OptionVotes

YES

1741

574

Will Trump pardon Maduro?

Jan 3, 2:15 PMJan 4, 2:15 PM

15.82%chance

18859

OptionVotes

YES

231

Maduro back in power before 2030?

Jan 4, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.01%chance

12703

OptionVotes

YES

396

Maduro out of custody by EOY 2026?

Jan 3, 7:24 PMDec 30, 7:23 PM

16.91%chance

18310

OptionVotes

YES

153

137

Will Maduro be released from U.S. custody before his wife?

Jan 3, 7:51 PMDec 31, 7:49 PM

17.51%chance

9253

OptionVotes

YES

217

Trump administration pursues another regime change after removing Venezuela's Maduro?

Jan 5, 10:38 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

81.68%chance

9241

OptionVotes

YES

211

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Jan 15, 12:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.45%chance

12213

OptionVotes

YES

171

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Latin America
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift
Authors
44
7 months ago

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Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?

Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?

Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?

When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro?

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

If the Musk/Maduro fight happens and Maduro loses, will Maduro cede power?

Will Trump pardon Maduro?

Maduro back in power before 2030?

Maduro out of custody by EOY 2026?

Will Maduro be released from U.S. custody before his wife?

Trump administration pursues another regime change after removing Venezuela's Maduro?

Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram