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Mar de Plástico News

    Prediction markets for Mar de Plástico

    Will Elon Musk be Emperor of Mars?

    May 18, 4:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    16.1%chance
    195784

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1388

    895

    Will aging be cured by 2100?

    Mar 16, 3:27 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM
    56.14%chance
    444672

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1139

    839

    What civil time system will be used on Mars?

    Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
    261497

    OptionProbability

    A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

    A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

    Other

    A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

    A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

    Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

    35

    24

    24

    15

    2

    1

    Will Trump invite the Premier of Alberta into Mar de Lago or the WhiteHouse by EOY2025?

    Dec 14, 8:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    50%chance
    00

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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