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Prediction markets for Mercury
OptionVotes
8554
752
What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?
Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM
263346
OptionProbability
51
17
16
8
5
1
1
1
Will there exist a swimming pool filled with mercury before 2030?
Dec 29, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.9%chance
141924
OptionVotes
2392
419
Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?
Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15%chance
61549
OptionVotes
2380
420
OptionVotes
2131
895
Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2040?
Dec 30, 1:29 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
16.86%chance
13883
OptionVotes
201
147
Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2045?
Dec 30, 8:26 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
24.78%chance
12726
OptionVotes
144
103
OptionVotes
221
45
OptionVotes
121
62
Will a spacecraft that plans to attempt a soft landing on Mercury launch by the end of 2030?
Aug 25, 2:31 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM
24%chance
7113
OptionVotes
198
76
OptionVotes
172
100
OptionProbability
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
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