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Prediction markets for Millis
By the end of 2025 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
Dec 5, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19%chance
15516604
OptionVotes
3865
859
OptionVotes
2960
338
OptionProbability
53
48
43
41
34
18
Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
Sep 2, 8:54 AMSep 9, 10:59 PM
44%chance
568669
OptionVotes
1047
854
OptionVotes
2419
413
OptionProbability
55
54
46
35
31
31
30
30
26
22
21
18
17
17
16
15
15
14
14
8
7
6
Will Tesla deliver over 2 million vehicles in the calendar year 2025?
Feb 29, 3:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
1%chance
193426
OptionVotes
1039
6
Will Millie Bobby Brown and Jake Bongiovi split by 2026?
Apr 13, 10:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.93%chance
141487
OptionVotes
212
101
Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?
May 25, 10:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
50.91%chance
12550
OptionVotes
3605
3380
Who will host Saturday Night Live [SNL] for the first time in the 2020s? [Mega Market]
Apr 12, 4:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6396
OptionProbability
76
76
76
63
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
when VR becomes popular (333 milly MAU accross all metaverses), what will people call it? (resolves to multiple)
Apr 27, 4:11 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
9263
OptionProbability
73
24
23
21
20
13
If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?
Aug 8, 5:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
68.45%chance
365
OptionVotes
4047
3968