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Top stories

Mississippi Museum Displays Gun Used in Emmett Till Lynching

Mississippi Museum Displays Gun Used in Emmett Till Lynching

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Money

Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?

Apr 17, 12:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

41.81%chance

8264001

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

722

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.72%chance

3723787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2577

367

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

How many Manifold users will link their account to a futarchy that pays real money?

Aug 13, 7:48 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

37.42%chance

3810099

OptionProbability

NO

YES

7781

6334

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Mar 6, 9:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

53%chance

818907

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

830

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027?

Jun 23, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.75%chance

171913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

873

Will there be a new denomination of coin money for the United States before the end of 2040?

Mar 27, 4:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.03%chance

221274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

947

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.38%chance

131078

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1294

1116

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.17%chance

9959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1204

831

Will money still exist in a post-AGI, post-scarcity society?

Mar 25, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.94%chance

29705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

975

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Education
Culture
United States
Mississippi Museum Displays Gun Used in Emmett Till Lynching
Authors
11
1 year ago

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