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Top stories

Mississippi Museum Displays Gun Used in Emmett Till Lynching

Mississippi Museum Displays Gun Used in Emmett Till Lynching

Authors

11

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Money

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?

Jan 22, 7:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76.33%chance

7643277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18510

2717

Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?

Apr 17, 12:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

44.99%chance

7140266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

660

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.59%chance

3423330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2335

416

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

Will the Spaceballs sequel be called "Spaceballs 2: The Search for More Money"?

Jun 19, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

217503

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Sequel not released before 2035

74

22

4

Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?

Mar 7, 7:01 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

65.44%chance

837483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1514

268

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will Manifold offer real money betting again before the end of 2025?

Jun 6, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18%chance

251567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

723

544

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Aug 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.1%chance

8909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

867

Will money still exist in a post-AGI, post-scarcity society?

Mar 25, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.94%chance

29705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

975

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.72%chance

6380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

987

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Education
Culture
United States
Mississippi Museum Displays Gun Used in Emmett Till Lynching
Authors
11
1 day ago

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