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Nangarhar News

    Prediction markets for Nangarhar

    Post US Midterms 2026 Iran Conflict props

    Oct 24, 6:35 PMDec 15, 11:59 PM
    119

    OptionProbability

    If the US or Israel strike Iran Nov 4-30, will WTI oil futures be higher 10 days later?

    If a major strike occurs Nov 4-30, is a ceasefire or stand-down announced within 14 days of the initial strike?

    Will the U.S. use a GBU-43/B MOAB against a target inside Iran between Nov. 4 and Nov. 30?

    If the US or Israel renews strikes on Iran after the midterms, will Iran claim successful attacks on at least 2 Israeli infrastructure sites shared by Ebrahimazizi33 on X on Oct 24?

    If a major strike occurs before Dec 1, will the conflict escalate so that both the S&P500 sells off ≥ 3% and WTI futures spike ≥15% at any point in the 2-week period after the initial strikes?

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