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10 months ago

Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

35.43%chance

66790

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YES

20520

10809

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.29%chance

464116

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YES

2622

208

Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

30.83%chance

43501

OptionVotes

YES

13499

7975

will trump be assasinated in US?

Mar 7, 1:13 AMDec 31, 1:12 AM

10%chance

292375

OptionVotes

YES

300

Will there be any news about another assassination attempt on Donald Trump this month?

Jun 2, 10:05 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

17.14%chance

16333

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YES

220

Will the median center of the US population still be in Indiana in 2030?

Apr 15, 6:51 AMApr 22, 6:59 AM

54.61%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?

will trump be assasinated in US?

Will there be any news about another assassination attempt on Donald Trump this month?

Will the median center of the US population still be in Indiana in 2030?

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