Near West News

9 months ago

Would Trump get a second assassination attempt 2026

Jan 28, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99.02%chance

237876

OptionVotes

YES

4908

920

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.29%chance

464116

OptionVotes

YES

2622

208

Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

43.1%chance

53790

OptionVotes

YES

17520

12743

will trump be assasinated in US?

Mar 7, 1:13 AMDec 31, 1:12 AM

7.4%chance

292284

OptionVotes

YES

354

Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

40.92%chance

2501

OptionVotes

YES

10499

9640

Will the median center of the US population still be in Indiana in 2030?

Apr 15, 6:51 AMApr 22, 6:59 AM

54.61%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Would Trump get a second assassination attempt 2026

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

will trump be assasinated in US?

Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?

Will the median center of the US population still be in Indiana in 2030?

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