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Sompo Buys Aspen Insurance for $3.5 Billion to Bolster US Reach

1 year ago

Company Earnings

Stocks

Business

Riskified Lifts 2025 Outlook and Adds $75 Million Share Buyback

1 year ago

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

27.9%chance

155163363

OptionVotes

YES

1541

679

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.37%chance

455133008

OptionVotes

YES

3461

2666

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.23%chance

324117679

OptionVotes

YES

1067

910

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7757085

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3823852

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

Not before 2030

2026

2025 or earlier

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

1721294

OptionProbability

Labour coalition

National coalition

No government formed

Other

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Aug 12, 1:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8115039

OptionProbability

USA

China

Russia

India

Europe

Other

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Jun 11, 4:45 PMJun 18, 8:59 PM

3111948

OptionProbability

With a cisgender woman

With anyone at all

With a cisgender man

With a transfeminine person

With a transmasculine person

100

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.33%chance

298124

OptionVotes

YES

8032

4190

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?

Aug 3, 1:54 PMOct 4, 10:59 PM

81.25%chance

376819

OptionVotes

YES

1318

912

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

Jul 20, 9:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

42.02%chance

136543

OptionVotes

YES

10444

9054

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

Sep 22, 4:56 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

49.03%chance

3220

OptionVotes

YES

5240

4950

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Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

Latest stories

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