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Sompo Buys Aspen Insurance for $3.5 Billion to Bolster US Reach

5 months ago

Company Earnings

Stocks

Business

Riskified Lifts 2025 Outlook and Adds $75 Million Share Buyback

6 months ago

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

28.32%chance

152161499

OptionVotes

YES

1524

686

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.08%chance

449130846

OptionVotes

YES

3222

2880

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

320111844

OptionVotes

YES

1011

964

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7756998

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

Will the New England Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks? 🏈 Super Bowl LX

Feb 10, 8:43 PMFeb 9, 4:59 AM

31.85%chance

10631684

OptionVotes

YES

29635

25512

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3621650

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2026

Not before 2030

2025 or earlier

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

812379

OptionProbability

National coalition

Labour coalition

No government formed

Other

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

34.55%chance

216899

OptionVotes

YES

13763

7266

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

Jul 20, 9:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36%chance

125493

OptionVotes

YES

10577

9472

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.38%chance

195302

OptionVotes

YES

7655

4278

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

Sep 22, 4:56 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

48.53%chance

2170

OptionVotes

YES

5190

5003

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

Jul 31, 4:37 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

3/2025

4/2025

1/2026

Other

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Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Will the New England Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks? 🏈 Super Bowl LX

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

In which Quarter will open the first new part of Venice MarcoPolo Airport with Gates A?

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