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Sompo Buys Aspen Insurance for $3.5 Billion to Bolster US Reach

8 months ago

Company Earnings

Stocks

Business

Riskified Lifts 2025 Outlook and Adds $75 Million Share Buyback

9 months ago

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM

25.29%chance

155163135

OptionVotes

YES

1655

638

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Sep 1, 11:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.46%chance

452132699

OptionVotes

YES

3455

2670

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.87%chance

322116454

OptionVotes

YES

1186

815

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7757085

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3722802

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

Not before 2030

2026

2025 or earlier

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

Aug 12, 1:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8014927

OptionProbability

USA

China

Russia

India

Europe

Other

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

1314539

OptionProbability

National coalition

Labour coalition

No government formed

Other

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Jun 11, 4:45 PMJun 18, 8:59 PM

3011898

OptionProbability

With a cisgender woman

With anyone at all

With a cisgender man

With a transfeminine person

With a transmasculine person

100

Earliest date we will see credible claims that a new space data center is cheaper than its terrestrial counterpart?

Feb 5, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

118634

OptionProbability

>= 2046

2028-2029

2030-2031

2032-2033

2034-2035

2036-2037

2038-2039

2040-2041

2027

2042-2043

2044-2045

2026

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.03%chance

235958

OptionVotes

YES

5866

4797

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

Jul 20, 9:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.83%chance

125543

OptionVotes

YES

10627

9444

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

Sep 22, 4:56 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

48.53%chance

2170

OptionVotes

YES

5190

5003

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Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Who will win the new race to the Moon?

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Earliest date we will see credible claims that a new space data center is cheaper than its terrestrial counterpart?

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Before 2028, will AI systems outperform mathematicians at suggesting reasonable explanations for new OEIS sequences?

US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)

Latest stories

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