New Haven News
Top stories
Prediction markets for New Haven
OptionProbability
22
19
15
9
9
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
62
61
60
54
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
47
46
45
43
43
40
39
0
How interesting are my different ideas for LessWrong posts, and when will I post them?
Jun 18, 2:24 PMDec 31, 2:03 PM
148605
OptionProbability
100
100
100
86
80
77
75
73
69
67
64
64
58
57
57
56
54
54
52
50
50
48
44
0
OptionProbability
67
28
4
0
0
Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]
Jan 24, 3:26 PMDec 31, 3:10 PM
15.61%chance
487070
OptionVotes
2696
951
Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.
Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
73.01%chance
285333
OptionVotes
1356
824
What new word(s) will appear for the first time in the New York Times before 2030? [ADD SUGGESTIONS]
Feb 28, 11:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
564901
OptionProbability
100
100
80
78
77
73
73
66
63
61
57
57
46
39
33
28
28
27
26
23
21
21
18
3
Will there be any significant technological developments after 2100?
Nov 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
91.88%chance
364548
OptionVotes
2436
734
If I start identifying as a woman, will it bother me?
Dec 13, 2:29 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
23.48%chance
493818
OptionVotes
1054
549
Next Star Wars mainline film (Episode X?) 🪐👾 [Megamarket/Prop bets]
Mar 11, 8:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
301720
OptionProbability
95
85
84
83
79
72
66
65
65
64
59
56
54
53
51
50
50
50
50
46
45
44
44
44
42
41
35
35
35
34
34
30
27
27
26
20
19
9
1
Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?
Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM
79.01%chance
11213
OptionVotes
1118
952
Asteroid 1998 KY26 exhibits an unexplained acceleration effect. What causes this?
Aug 16, 11:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
320
OptionProbability
40
40
21


