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Prediction markets for New Spain
OptionVotes
1626
831
OptionProbability
48
16
11
8
5
4
4
2
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Jun 15, 12:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.9%chance
5160
OptionVotes
104
96
Will Charles III of the UK et al meet a senior Taiwanese leader before the end of his reign?
Aug 17, 10:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
44.11%chance
5127
OptionVotes
135
117
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Nov 26, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.97%chance
5122
OptionVotes
301
187
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