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North Side News

    Prediction markets for North Side

    Will Xi Jinping leave mainland China in 2026?

    Jan 29, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    86.4%chance
    166247

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2520

    397

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    3698

    270

    OptionProbability

    The EU AI Act fully enters into force (key provisions enforced, not just passed).

    Rockstar Games officially releases Grand Theft Auto VI.

    The Leader of a top-10 GDP country dies.

    Only one of these will happen in 2026.

    A new element is officially added to the periodic table.

    The executives/government coalitions in at least 3 top-10 GDP countries holds less than 50% of their national parliament at the same time.

    None of these will happen in 2026.

    A formal peace treaty is signed by Ukraine and Russia.

    A peer-reviewed paper claims strong biosignatures on another planet or moon and is widely accepted (e.g., cited by NASA/ESA) as credible.

    A human lands on the Moon in a crewed mission.

    A major social media platform completely bans the use of anonymous accounts.

    A country formally declares the climate crisis a national security emergency.

    A new country is officially recognized by the United Nations.

    BRICS members, partners, candidates are involved on opposite sites of wars or military campaigns or military strikes or military actions on at least two separate occasions.

    A human-to-human virus is declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO.

    A country admits to the Nord Stream sabotage.

    At least one of the following three countries is part of a war or military campaign or military strike or military action on either side. (North Korea, Turkmenistan, Eritrea)

    A new European political party will start being represented in the European Parliament, OR an old European political party will stop being represented in the European Parliament.

    19

    19

    15

    12

    5

    4

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    OptionProbability

    2030

    2029

    Other

    2031

    Demolished

    2028

    2027

    25

    24

    17

    15

    10

    8

    2

    NATO stocks (Permanent)

    Nov 27, 11:09 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM
    10312

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    335

    150

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