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Oğulbey Technology Base News

Turkey Unveils $460 Million Steel Dome Air Defense System With 47 Vehicles, Erdogan Launches $1.5 Billion ASELSAN Base

Turkey Unveils $460 Million Steel Dome Air Defense System With 47 Vehicles, Erdogan Launches $1.5 Billion ASELSAN Base

11

3 months ago

5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM

86.71%chance

38852556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2186

1516

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.62%chance

8132937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22319

3938

Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?

Oct 29, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.04%chance

10423559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10119

734

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

1418719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3323

1983

Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2033

Mar 21, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.46%chance

1107068

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1999

830

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.66%chance

414675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3003

1084

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

604670

OptionProbability

OpenAI/Microsoft

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

29

24

12

10

10

9

6

1

New York State RAISE Act becomes law?

Jun 24, 3:01 AMJan 2, 4:01 AM

69.98%chance

114551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4882

2686

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.85%chance

82541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10867

9202

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.95%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3864

3220

Precision fermentation technology used in more than 50 new plant-based products by December 31, 2025

Mar 12, 2:57 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

6.74%chance

5611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

704

41

If intelligent aliens visit us, will AI-based technologies outperform analog linguistics in translating their language?

Mar 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

69.65%chance

13186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

977

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