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Prediction markets for Okinawa

In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?

Nov 2, 10:52 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

296304

OptionProbability

Iran

Ukraine

South China Sea

India

Pakistan

Russia

United States

Taiwan

Jerusalem

Belarus

South Korea

Seoul

Okinawa

The Philippines

Guam

China

Gaza Strip

Washington DC

55

13

11

10

10

9

8

7

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

2

"Trojan horse"-like drone attack on US military planes before 2028

Jun 6, 5:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.33%chance

13488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Did the USA missile sites in Okinawa receive erroneous orders to launch their nuclear missiles during the cold war?

Feb 9, 10:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50%chance

24

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

90

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