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Prediction markets for Pali
OptionProbability
386
103
2028 US election: peaceful transfer of power to a non-authoritarian leader?
Jul 13, 11:18 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
75%chance
161370
OptionVotes
1732
577
Are there infinitely many palindromic primes in base 10?
Feb 9, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
86.66%chance
7216
OptionVotes
277
79
Jonathan Rinderknecht Convicted of Starting Palisades Fire
Oct 13, 2:21 PMOct 14, 2:16 PM
70.61%chance
375
OptionVotes
155
65
Will "Help keep AI under human control: Palisade Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Dec 20, 4:33 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
122
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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