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Top stories

Microsoft Ends Use of China-Based Engineers for U.S. Department of Defense Cloud Support After ProPublica Investigation and Pentagon Review

US Domestic Policy

Microsoft Ends Use of China-Based Engineers for U.S. Department of Defense Cloud Support After ProPublica Investigation and Pentagon Review

Authors

25

15 days ago

Trump Presses Contractors, Targets February Flight on Qatar-Gifted Air Force One

US Domestic Policy

Trump Presses Contractors, Targets February Flight on Qatar-Gifted Air Force One

Authors

11

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Pentagon

Iranian strike on U.S. soil in 2025?

Jun 23, 6:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.93%chance

163093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3225

319

Will Mike Waltz be confirmed as Ambassador to the United Nations?

May 6, 8:16 PMDec 31, 9:14 PM

86.04%chance

212273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2482

403

Will China's navy still be the largest in the world in 2025?

Mar 6, 9:18 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

95.69%chance

141917

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2765

834

GPT-4 #1: Conditional on being able to use a REPL, will GPT-4 be able to be prompted to write naively malicious code?

Nov 15, 6:21 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

53.66%chance

321555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

592

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

21965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

706

Would any of these be the accepted explanation for one of the pentagon UFO videos / david grusch's claims by 2028?

Oct 29, 7:33 AMJan 1, 6:14 PM

10550

OptionProbability

Natural phenomena

Faked evidence / false testimony

Failure of detection equipment

Advanced and secret human technology

Previously unknown other species inhabitants of earth

Non human intelligence from outer space / other dimensions

61

61

56

52

16

8

Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump?

Jun 11, 8:18 PMJan 21, 11:59 AM

49.24%chance

5230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

985

Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?

Mar 6, 5:20 PMMar 7, 6:59 AM

45.8%chance

5122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

924

Will the Pentagon make a major planning/budget change against the F-35 by mid 2027

Feb 16, 1:11 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

18.48%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?

Oct 21, 1:40 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

22.43%chance

4110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

54

Secret Immaculate Constellation Pentagon program revelation causes detention time before 2026?

Apr 30, 3:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

6100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Pentagon stock [permanent]

Apr 4, 1:30 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

48.36%chance

424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

108

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