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Top stories

Entergy Wins Louisiana Nod for Gas Plants Powering Meta Data Center

Entergy Wins Louisiana Nod for Gas Plants Powering Meta Data Center

Authors

4

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Phase One

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

Feb 28, 12:08 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

97.94%chance

2915988

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7381

168

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.22%chance

2411283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11978

1115

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

264557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3638

276

Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?

Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.59%chance

212870

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

865

End of pre-training era for language models: Will an LM fine-tune for more FLOPs than it is pre-trained for, before 2026

May 5, 11:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

36.84%chance

242303

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

735

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Sep 13, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

971

Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?

Jun 4, 2:58 AMJun 11, 6:59 AM

34.12%chance

3401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

723

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.4%chance

6216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1049

953

Will Arketamine promote a greater anti-depressant effect than Esketamine?

Apr 17, 11:24 PMApr 24, 11:24 PM

56.27%chance

666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

946

945

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.64%chance

458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

💊Will INS018_055 be FDA-approved by 2030?

Nov 14, 8:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.78%chance

348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

93

85

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