Poland News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Poland
Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027?
Apr 23, 11:55 AMDec 29, 7:59 AM
14.14%chance
5511369
OptionVotes
1457
876
Will Karol Nawrocki be the President of Poland at the end of November 2026?
Oct 31, 11:54 AMNov 30, 10:59 PM
97.54%chance
107579
OptionVotes
6299
159
Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
Jan 14, 3:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10.5%chance
344755
OptionVotes
1144
959
Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030?
Aug 7, 7:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
94%chance
243472
OptionVotes
3956
476
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
Feb 13, 3:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
61.74%chance
462735
OptionVotes
1440
236
OptionVotes
2111
712
Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029?
Jan 31, 7:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
9.39%chance
182261
OptionVotes
2062
814
[Metaculus] Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?
Nov 9, 12:20 AMJan 2, 5:00 AM
11.09%chance
242049
OptionVotes
2177
744
Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Apr 26, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.79%chance
191545
OptionVotes
100
100
OptionVotes
1513
518
OptionVotes
1118
811
Will "Immigration to Poland" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 11, 11:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000