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Prediction markets for Poland
Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027?
Apr 23, 11:55 AMDec 29, 7:59 AM
22.28%chance
448536
OptionVotes
986
942
OptionVotes
4687
213
Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?
Oct 5, 11:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
21.66%chance
133838
OptionVotes
1902
526
OptionVotes
3245
676
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
Feb 13, 3:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.76%chance
311806
OptionVotes
1174
511
Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029?
Jan 31, 7:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.44%chance
161267
OptionVotes
1496
886
[Metaculus] Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?
Nov 9, 12:20 AMJan 2, 5:00 AM
17.98%chance
221267
OptionVotes
1441
865
OptionVotes
965
965
OptionVotes
1523
513
Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030?
Aug 7, 7:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
76.53%chance
21910
OptionVotes
1419
820
OptionVotes
1122
806
Will "Immigration to Poland" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 11, 11:00 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000