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OptionProbability
100
97
94
94
85
82
78
76
72
68
62
59
52
47
47
31
21
16
13
9
5
1
0
0
Will a moving mirror produce light that propagates below c in vacuum by the end of 2030?
Oct 25, 10:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.65%chance
82493
OptionVotes
3250
308
Will a nuclear pulse propulsion system be tested by 2040?
Nov 14, 6:12 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
12.36%chance
331818
OptionVotes
1240
926
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.46%chance
191770
OptionVotes
2102
476
Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030?
Sep 5, 5:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
52.27%chance
181608
OptionVotes
1091
1070
Where will October 2026 rank among the warmest Octobers on record (Copernicus ERA5)?
Oct 9, 7:09 PMNov 12, 11:59 PM
6801
OptionProbability
99
0
0
0
Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?
Jan 15, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
17.21%chance
21576
OptionVotes
1264
922
Will a cosmic string be detected by pulsar timing arrays by EOY 2030?
Aug 23, 2:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.86%chance
5138
OptionVotes
145
96
Will Pulsar Fusion perform its In Orbit Demonstration by 2028?
Jul 15, 12:20 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM
14.18%chance
6121
OptionVotes
208
48
A Pulsar Timing Detection of a Deviation from Kerr in Sgr A*
Mar 11, 2:26 AMJan 1, 2:23 AM
4.54%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
99
OptionVotes
125
115
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