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Richmond News

    Prediction markets for Richmond

    UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election?

    May 26, 12:05 PMApr 28, 10:59 PM
    5530633

    OptionProbability

    Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election

    No - Rishi Sunak will stand down as an MP before the next general election

    No - Rishi Sunak will not be returned as an MP in the 2024 General Election

    89

    11

    0

    Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?

    Jun 3, 11:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2213529

    OptionProbability

    Runcorn and Helsby

    Clacton [Nigel Farage]

    Gorton and Denton [Andrew Gwynne]

    Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

    Aberdeen South [Stephen Flynn]

    Makerfield [Josh Simons]

    Holborn and St. Pancras [Keir Starmer]

    North East Somerset and Hanham [Dan Norris]

    Central Suffolk and North Ipswich [Patrick Spencer]

    East Kilbride and Strathavenn [Joani Reid]

    Blackley and Middleton South [Graham Stringer]

    Mid Norfolk [George Freeman]

    Kingston upon Hull East [Karl Turner]

    Hertsmere [Oliver Dowden]

    South Basildon and East Thurrock [James McMurdock]

    Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]

    Hackney North and Stoke Newington [Diane Abbott]

    Herne Bay and Sandwich [Roger Gale]

    Gainsborough [Edward Leigh]

    Norwich South [Clive Lewis]

    West Lancashire [Rosie Cooper]

    Skipton and Ripon [Julian Smith]

    Hampstead and Highgate [Tulip Siddiq]

    Manchester Rusholme [Afzhal Khan]

    Burnley [Oliver Ryan]

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    98

    90

    71

    50

    37

    34

    33

    31

    31

    30

    30

    28

    22

    21

    21

    20

    17

    9

    8

    When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge?

    Feb 25, 4:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    84615

    OptionProbability

    Before Jan 2030

    Before Jul 2030

    Before Jul 2029

    Before Jan 2029

    Before Jan 2028

    Before Jul 2028

    Before Jul 2027

    Before Jan 2027

    Before Jul 2026

    95

    95

    90

    85

    80

    80

    62

    15

    0

    Virginia State University shooting facts

    Aug 15, 5:51 PMSep 30, 5:41 PM
    132564

    OptionProbability

    Multiple shooters (actually fired weapons, not just involved)

    Motivated by personal grievance

    Motivated by overtly racist ideology

    Motivated by right-wing ideology

    There is a manifesto

    At least one victim dies

    62

    58

    32

    31

    22

    13

    New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030

    Sep 4, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    10.88%chance
    141298

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2094

    771

    First AFL club to reach 17 senior VFL/AFL premierships

    Feb 1, 10:27 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
    18131

    OptionProbability

    Collingwood

    Carlton

    Essendon

    Other

    53

    31

    12

    4

    Winner of the 2026 Patriot League football championship

    Jul 31, 3:15 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    469

    OptionProbability

    Lehigh

    Holy Cross

    Villanova

    Lafayette

    Richmond

    William & Mary

    Bucknell

    Colgate

    Fordham

    Georgetown

    27

    23

    18

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    Which FCS teams will move up to FBS by 2050? (Add Answers)

    Jan 9, 4:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    123

    OptionProbability

    North Dakota State Bison

    Sacramento State Hornets

    Stony Brook Seawolves

    Rhode Island Rams

    Tarleton State Texans

    Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

    Richmond Spiders

    Chattanooga Mocs

    Austin Peay Governors

    Eastern Kentucky Colonels

    Central Arkansas Bears

    South Dakota State Jackrabbits

    Duquesne Dukes

    Villanova Wildcats

    North Dakota Fighting Hawks

    100

    100

    66

    59

    59

    54

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

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