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Robbins News

    Prediction markets for Robbins

    What will I do before December 2027?

    May 1, 12:23 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM
    276573

    OptionProbability

    Tell someone to commit suicide on Manifold (resolves YES)

    Have sex with a cisgender person

    Get a job

    Be hospitalized

    Willfully do a recreational drug other than caffeine, alcohol, marijuana, or nicotine

    Leave the USA

    Accidentally break my Nintendo Switch 2 (must be my fault; does not include manufacturing defects, inevitable battery degradation, etc)

    Go 14 days without making a bet on Manifold

    Fail to vote in an American election that I'm eligible to vote in

    Get a STD (and be aware of it)

    Willfully eat an animal product (excluding human and excluding lab-grown meat)

    Vote for a Republican in a general election (excluding nonpartisan and unopposed elections)

    Rob a Baskin-Robbins ran by a Rob in robes

    100

    57

    53

    21

    15

    15

    15

    14

    12

    11

    6

    5

    1

    OptionProbability

    Kim Bowes

    Henry Oliver

    Terrance Tao

    Kevin Roose

    Malcolm Gladwell

    William Gibson

    Emily Wilson

    Jonathan Sumption

    Jamie Dimon

    Cal Newport

    Magnus Carlsen

    Dean Ball

    Bishop Robert Barron

    Francis Fukuyama

    Rebecca Lowe

    Séb Krier

    Tom Holland (the historian)

    Patrick Collison (again)

    Caroline Shaw

    Ruxandra Teslo

    Rachel Cusk

    Robert Sapolsky

    Jensen Huang

    Werner Herzog

    Haruki Murakami

    Will Baude

    C Thi Nguyen

    Kathleen Tyson

    Sir Demis Hassabis

    Scott Alexander

    Hollis Robbins

    Jan Swafford

    Vaclav Smil

    Samuel Scheffler

    David Runciman

    William Hague

    Ben Goldacre

    Ted Chiang

    Michel Houellebecq

    John Ioannidis

    Knausgaard (again)

    Cremieux

    Oprah Winfrey

    Dua Lipa

    Hillary Clinton

    Aella

    Thomas Sowell

    Novak Djokovic

    Bill Gates

    Lana Del Rey

    Bari Weiss

    Martha Nussbaum

    100

    100

    100

    50

    50

    37

    34

    34

    25

    24

    23

    22

    21

    20

    20

    20

    19

    16

    15

    15

    15

    14

    13

    13

    12

    12

    12

    12

    11

    11

    11

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    0

    OptionProbability

    The Joe Rogan Experience

    Alex Cooper's Call Her Daddy

    This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von

    New York Times’ The Daily

    The Tucker Carlson Show

    Crime Junkie

    Other

    81

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

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