San Francisco Bay Area News

Waymo Gets Permit to Test Eight Self-Driving Cars in NYC With Human Operators, Testing Until Late September

1 year ago

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

Automobile

Robotics

San Francisco

Tesla Expands Robotaxi Pilot With More Bay Area Invitations

1 year ago

Newsom Sends Highway Patrol Teams Statewide as Trump Floats Guard Deployment

US Domestic Policy

California

Politics

Newsom Sends Highway Patrol Teams Statewide as Trump Floats Guard Deployment

1 year ago

Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?

Sep 23, 1:12 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

264727

OptionProbability

There is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026

New York

Boston

Montreal

Prospera

Other

Surprise! Washington, DC again!

Texas (any major city)

San Francisco Bay Area (excluding Lighthaven)

London

Paris

Berlin

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Apr 14, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54150

OptionProbability

Acquired by, or merged into, a (non-SPAC) public company

Going public (e.g. IPO, SPAC, Direct listing)

Other

Bankruptcy or going out of business

None of the other options happen by 2060

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:12 AMAug 6, 12:00 AM

96.8%chance

91155

OptionVotes

YES

517

Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026?

Aug 25, 1:47 AMJan 12, 11:59 PM

70.32%chance

14907

OptionVotes

YES

163

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

1420

704

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM

10.45%chance

10380

OptionVotes

YES

293

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:36 PMAug 6, 12:00 AM

45.29%chance

16268

OptionVotes

YES

106

When will Mixpanel have a liquidity event?

Apr 14, 8:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3155

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

2024-2025

2025-2026

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

2046-2047

2047-2048

2048-2049

2049-2050

2050-2051

2051-2052

2052-2053

2053-2054

2054-2055

2055-2056

2056-2057

2057-2058

2058-2059

2059-2060

2060-2061

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

Apr 7, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.32%chance

8104

OptionVotes

YES

294

148

If AI destroys the world by 2035, will it be largely due to a company/lab based in the San Francisco Bay Area?

Jul 29, 6:33 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

67.07%chance

554

OptionVotes

YES

188

141

Where will my home address be in 2028

Mar 30, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

339

OptionProbability

Atlanta Metro Area, Georgia, USA

Other

Switzerland

San Diego Metro Area, California, USA

Pittsburgh Metro Area, Pennsylvania, USA

San Francisco Bay Area, California, USA

Sacramento Metro Area, California USA

Los Angeles Metro Area, California, USA

Raleigh Durham Metro Area, North Carolina, USA

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

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Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026?

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

When will Mixpanel have a liquidity event?

In 2030, will the Bay Area retain its dominant role and position?

If AI destroys the world by 2035, will it be largely due to a company/lab based in the San Francisco Bay Area?

Where will my home address be in 2028

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Latest stories

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